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Another break in the Trump-Zelensky relationship

In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer says President Donald Trump's approach to the war in Ukraine is putting more pressure on President Volodymyr Zelensky and raising concerns among European allies about the future of NATO.

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Unrest in France spreads, Trump endorses Netanyahu, US-Ukraine ties fray

Weekend of unrest rocks France

Ongoing student protests in France descended into looting and riots over the weekend as more than half a million people took to the streets across the country. The unrest briefly spread to Portugal, Belgium, and Italy as well. Although the French protests began with demands for more education funding, the latest violence appeared to be led primarily by far-left extremists and gangs from the country’s immigrant-heavy suburbs. Conservative leaders across Europe seized on the chaos to push tougher immigration policies. Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar wrote, “Perhaps it is now clear to everyone why Hungary takes the toughest possible stance on migration,” while Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Poland would “not pay for” other EU countries’ immigration missteps. Embattled French President Emmanuel Macron condemned the violence but didn’t outline clear steps to forestall further unrest. Anti-immigration right-winger Marine Le Pen, who leads in polls ahead of the 2027 presidential election, called him “powerless.”

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Warlord Jr. carries on the family business in Russia

Being a warlord is a family affair! Pavel Prigozhin, 28, was once known for his ultra-luxurious lifestyle. But after his father was killed in a plane crash in 2023 — not at all coincidentally just two months after leading a short-lived mutiny against Russia’s military brass over the war in Ukraine — Pavel was tapped to lead Wagner. Since then, he has deftly maintained the group’s long-standing presence in Africa, particularly in the Central African Republic, where it is believed to have not only about 1,000 mercenaries actively advancing Kremlin interests, but also its own local beer brand.

Can Republicans survive Trump's unpopularity?

With just weeks until the midterms, President Trump's declining popularity is becoming a major liability for Republicans. But should GOP candidates distance themselves from the president or stick with him? Republican strategist Liam Donovan explains why breaking with Trump could backfire, particularly for candidates who haven't already established an independent political identity.

On GZERO World, Ian Bremmer speaks with Donovan and Amy Walter, editor-in-chief of the Cook Political Report, about how both parties are approaching the final stretch. Walter explains why Democrats are focusing on the cost of living, the Iran war, and corruption, and how disillusioned Trump voters could determine whether Republicans hold onto their Senate majority.

Midterms 2026: Is a blue wave coming?

Could Democrats take control of both the House and Senate in November? With Republicans facing growing voter frustration over the economy, the Iran war, and rising costs, the political landscape is shifting. But while Democrats see an opportunity to flip Congress, the Senate map presents a much tougher challenge.

On GZERO World, Ian Bremmer sits down with Amy Walter, editor-in-chief of the Cook Political Report, and Republican strategist Liam Donovan to break down the state of the midterm races. They discuss Trump's role in mobilizing Republican voters, whether Democrats can capitalize on his unpopularity, and why the Iran war could prove decisive in November.

They also look beyond Election Day. What would a Democratic-controlled Congress mean for Trump's final two years in office? And how could the results reshape both parties as they prepare for the 2028 presidential election?

2026 Midterms and the battle for Congress, with Amy Walter and Liam Donovan

Could a blue wave be coming in November? With the 2026 midterms approaching, Democrats are hoping to flip both chambers of Congress, while Republicans are fighting to hold onto their narrow majorities. But the battle for the House and Senate looks very different, and even with voter frustration mounting, the outcome is far from certain.

On the GZERO World podcast, Ian Bremmer sits down with Amy Walter, editor-in-chief of the Cook Political Report, and Republican strategist Liam Donovan to examine the state of the midterm races. They discuss why the Iran war and rising gas prices have become major political liabilities for Republicans, whether Trump can mobilize his base despite his declining popularity, and why Democrats are focusing on affordability, corruption, and voter frustration rather than cultural issues.

But the stakes extend well beyond November. What would a Democratic-controlled Congress actually mean for the final two years of Trump's presidency? Could a major Democratic victory change the party's direction, or simply reinforce its opposition to Trump? And as both parties look toward 2028, is JD Vance positioned to inherit the Republican nomination, and what kind of candidate could emerge for Democrats?

What do countries receiving US foreign aid owe Washington? Since returning to power in 2025, the Trump administration has drastically changed the answer to this question, pursuing an ‘America First’ philosophy that is dramatically more transactional: the US will give you money, but you must give the US something valuable in return.

In the mineral-rich Southern African country of Zambia, for example, the US tried to negotiate an agreement under which the US would provide more than $1 billion in funding to fight diseases such as HIV and malaria. But Zambia would not only have had to contribute over $2 billion of its own money, but it would also have to hand over something potentially far more valuable: its citizens’ health data.

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Indonesia’s wildfires ignite regional tensions

Indonesia’s worst wildfires in a decade are quickly becoming a domestic and international headache for President Prabowo Subianto. He has so far refused to declare a national emergency, which would free up more resources to fight the blazes. Prabowo says the government has things under control without one, but critics say he’s worried that an emergency declaration would show weakness. Meanwhile, residents on the island of Borneo near the epicenter of the fires are suing the federal government for negligence, demanding free healthcare and compensation for families who have lost loved ones. Indonesia’s neighbors are also losing patience. Singapore has threatened to sue Indonesian companies it holds responsible for the fires, while the wildfire smoke has forced Malaysia and East Timor to close their own schools. Nearly 3,500 square miles have burned since January, with drought conditions brought on by El Niño fueling the flames.

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Senegalese LGBTQ+ people have also faced forced HIV testing and challenges getting legal representation amid a wider crackdown. As a candidate in the 2024 election, now-president Bassirou Diomaye Faye pledged to strengthen existing laws that criminalized same-sex relations. In March the government doubled the maximum prison term for same-sex relations to 10 years. Senegal also introduced fines for promoting, supporting, or financing LGBTQ+ organizations or groups.


Think you know what's going on around the world? Here's your chance to prove it


Protests have rocked Albania this week. They began months ago in opposition to a seaside resort project led by Jared Kushner that would displace what?

  • A) Flamingos
  • B) A large refugee encampment
  • C) A sacred volcano

Take the quiz to see if you guessed correctly!

French president Emmanuel Macron promised to renew France and build a stronger Europe. As his presidency nears its end, he's leaving France worse off than he found it.

On The Debrief, Eurasia Group's Europe practice head Mujtaba Rahman breaks down the three crises looming over France: political turmoil, strained public finances, and a younger generation losing faith in its future. With the far right poised to benefit, France’s problems could become Europe’s.

AI is advancing with both feet on the accelerator. At last week’s GZERO Summit in London, Ian Bremmer spotlighted the risks posed by frontier AI models and the imperative for independent, globally minded AI governance.

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Anti-immigration political parties are making big gains across Europe these days. Germany’s Alternative for Germany (AfD) party just won two major state parliamentary elections, campaigning in part on mass deportations of undocumented immigrants. Spain’s far-right Vox party continues to grow in popularity, especially after a recent surge of migrants from Morocco into the Spanish exclave of Ceuta. And in France, Marine Le Pen’s National Rally is climbing in the polls ahead of next year’s presidential election, promising tougher border controls and restrictions on immigration.

It may at first seem curious, then, that this is happening at a time when irregular migration into Europe is actually declining — and fast.

According to a new report from the International Organization for Migration, the number of migrants and asylum seekers who arrived by sea in the first nine months of 2026 has plummeted nearly 40% — to 60,000 — compared to the same period last year. Overall, in 2025, the number of irregular border crossings of all kinds fell to below 200,000. That is a staggering drop from the height of the European migrant crisis of 2015-2016, when more than a million people sought refuge in Europe.

What accounts for the decline?

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