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Three years after October 7, with Aaron David Miller


Three years after October 7, Gaza remains locked in conflict, Israel is heading into a pivotal election, and its relationship with the US is under growing strain. Former US Middle East negotiator Aaron David Miller joins Ian Bremmer to discuss what comes next for Israel and a rapidly changing Middle East.

Gaza remains divided and without a clear path forward. Hamas has been severely weakened militarily but retains significant influence, while Palestinians continue to face difficult humanitarian conditions and little prospect of a political breakthrough.

On the GZERO World Podcast, Ian Bremmer sits down with former US Middle East negotiator Aaron David Miller to take stock of Israel and the region three years later. They discuss why Hamas has proven so difficult to dislodge, what Israel’s October 27 election could actually change, and why a new government may look different at home without dramatically changing Israel’s approach to Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran.

They also examine the changing US-Israel relationship as bipartisan support erodes, Israel’s shifting image among Americans, and a regional balance increasingly shaped by Israel, Turkey, and Iran. Miller argues that changing leadership could improve Washington’s relationship with Israel – but that the broader Middle East remains deeply fragmented, with few signs of an easy way out.

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Three years on, Gaza remains in limbo

Aaron David Miller breaks down where Gaza stands today and why its future remains so uncertain. Former US Middle East negotiator Aaron David Miller says Israel and Hamas remain fundamentally at odds over security, governance, and reconstruction, leaving little prospect for a lasting political solution.

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How October 7 changed the Middle East, three years on

Three years after the October 7 attacks, the Middle East looks very different, and Gaza remains without a clear path forward. Hamas retains influence despite being severely weakened militarily, while millions of Palestinians continue to face difficult humanitarian conditions.
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Italian winery sees red

At least seven masked men deactivated alarms and cameras at the Antinori winery before using the company’s forklifts to fill two trucks with crates of the winery’s reds. The thieves deliberately targeted higher-end bottles worth between €150 and €500 each, leading Antinori to suggest that they may have had insider knowledge of the winery. Antinori hopes to have the bottles returned, warning customers to buy only directly from the source. This isn’t the first such theft in Italy this year. Just last month, thieves stole 3,000 bottles from Conterno Fantino winery, although Antinori believes it may be the biggest in recent history.

Tensions boil between Ethiopia and Eritrea, UK’s Labour Party notches win, Lula’s chances slim in Brazil

Ethiopia claims “all-out invasion” by Eritrea

Ethiopia has told the UN that troops from neighboring Eritrea penetrated at least 60 meters across the border as long-standing tensions between the two East African countries threaten to boil over again. At issue is access to the Red Sea, which Ethiopia lost when Eritrea became independent after 30 years of war in 1993. The two sides signed a historic peace accord in 2018, and a heavily militarized Eritrea supported the Ethiopian government in its war against Tigray rebels from 2020 to 2022. But relations frayed soon after, and in 2023, Ethiopia declared it would restore access to the sea, a pledge Eritrea viewed as a threat. In recent weeks, border tensions have flared again, while the Ethiopian government has also accused Eritrea of now supporting a fresh uprising by Tigray rebels. A wider war between Ethiopia and Eritrea could destabilize East Africa and the Red Sea coast at a time when the war in Iran has already raised risks in the region.

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Why the 2026 UN Water Conference is focused on action, not talk

With billions of people around the world still lacking access to safely managed drinking water, can technology, and artificial intelligence in particular, help close the gap? On the sidelines of the 81st United Nations General Assembly, Eurasia Group's sustainability expert, Franck Gbaguidi, speaks with Abdulla Balalaa, the UAE’s Assistant Minister of Foreign Affairs for Energy and Sustainability, about preparations for the upcoming 2026 United Nations Water Conference in Abu Dhabi and the push to turn global commitments on water into tangible action.

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Think you know what's going on around the world? Here's your chance to prove it

A lawmaker in Ukraine recently proposed an unconventional strategy to fund the country’s war effort. What was it?

  • A) Decriminalizing marijuana sales
  • B) Criminalizing AI
  • C) Decriminalizing the production of pornography

Take the quiz to see if you guessed correctly!

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government is framing the move as cleaning India’s electoral register – which included around 970 million people before the changes – of dead or duplicate voters. But many people say the purge has disenfranchised them. Critics argue that voters who are less likely to support Modi’s BJP party, such as India’s 200 million Muslims, are disproportionately being cut. The exercise could erode public faith in India’s electoral system, which stood at 74% according to 2025 Pew polling, and cast doubt on the legitimacy of the country’s 2029 election.

Mass trials begin in El Salvador

Over the past four years, Salvadoran authorities have used a state of emergency to arrest more than 90,000 people on suspicion of gang activity, putting many of them in maximum security prisons. Now, en masse, they are having their days in court in trials that human rights activists say are riddled with violations of due process and judicial independence, and which result in nearly automatic convictions. But popular strongman president Nayib Bukele is unfazed. His ferocious and, critics say, indiscriminate crackdown on gang violence has decimated what was once one of the highest murder rates in the world, making him a model for the resurgent right across Latin America.

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Many will associate that line with the classic musical “Les Misérables” set during the French Revolution. But today, it encapsulates the feeling of millions of students across France: miserable – and enraged.

For weeks, students have walked out of classrooms and poured into the streets. What began last month as anger over teacher shortages, crumbling buildings, and a university admissions process students see as unfair has caught like wildfire. Now, protests have reached nearly a third of high schools in the country – and caused headline-making injuries.

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Three years ago, a military, political, and humanitarian earthquake irreparably changed Israeli and global politics. On October 7th, 2023, Hamas militants killed over 1,200 Israelis and foreign nationals and took 251 as hostages. A catastrophic war in Gaza soon followed. Israel’s military killed over 70,000 Palestinians and displaced more than 1.9 million. In 2026, Israel, Gaza, and the world are still grappling with the far-reaching effects of October 7th—as Israel readies to go to the polls on October 27th, with Netanyahu and his right-wing party Likud facing off against centrist party Yashar, led by Gadi Eisenkot, former Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces.

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Maoz Inon lost both parents in the October 7 attacks. Aziz Abu Sarah, whose brother died after torture in an Israeli prison, reached out in the days that followed. Their shared grief became the foundation of a close friendship and a partnership in peace activism.

In this conversation with GZERO Media’s Tony Maciulis, the coauthors of The Future Is Peace describe what that relationship asks of them. They discuss listening to painful accounts of the past and challenging the stories they grew up with, while making room for anger. A stop in Jaffa brings their different understandings of 1948 into focus. They also address criticism of their work and the question of how to engage people who deny the other side’s right to exist.

On the third anniversary of the attacks, Inon and Abu Sarah discuss the daily work of sustaining that relationship—and what it would take to turn their commitment to peace into political action.

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