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The GOP’s Musky scent

Musk’s cash splash – which makes him the largest known midterm donor – is meant to help Republicans head off a so-called “Blue Wave” of Democrat support that could cost the GOP not only the House, but possibly the Senate as well. It signals that Musk intends to remain a fixture of Republican politics, despite his rocky exit from the Trump administration last year, where he ran the Department of Government Efficiency. Musk’s money has gone to various Political Action Committees (PACs) that are aiming to boost turnout among the MAGA base. The tight Senate race in Texas, where Musk is a resident, has been a particular focus of his activity.

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Cyberattacks target freezers in France, Iran strikes vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, Former DRC president teams up with M23 rebels

Supermarket cyberattacks turn the heat up in France

Hackers set their sights on an unusual target in France this week: supermarkets. On Monday, attackers used remote software to raise the temperature on fridges and freezers to around 122 degrees Fahrenheit, spoiling food and sparking fires. While the full scale of the attack remains unconfirmed, individual chains’ reports suggest that 400 of the country’s 15,000 supermarkets were affected. Two supermarkets in northeastern France reported combined losses of around $300,000, suggesting that total losses could be well into the millions. Hackers exploited vulnerabilities in older software from engineering firm Danfoss, which said it had previously advised supermarkets that those systems could not receive security updates. The attack comes just a month after French President Emmanuel Macron said he was working on a plan to protect critical French infrastructure from increasingly advanced cyberattacks.

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The IMF has survived Trump’s hostility toward global institutions. But at what price?

The people tasked with safeguarding the world’s financial stability are gathering in Bangkok, Thailand, this week. Central bankers, finance and development ministers, private sector leaders, civil society representatives, and academics from nearly 200 countries are attending the IMF-World Bank’s annual meetings to discuss soaring public debt, the impact of the Iran war, rising oil and food prices, inflation, and the economic impact of AI.

But another issue is also worth watching: the IMF’s relationship with the United States.

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Restoring wetlands through cross-sector collaboration

In Germany’s Vogelsberg region, Microsoft and Amazon are supporting regional partners in a long-term effort to restore wetlands. The project aims to help the landscape retain water, improve drinking water quality, and restore wildlife habitats, while also advancing Microsoft’s commitment to become water positive by 2030.

Read more here.

Trump's Russian diesel deal and what it means for Ukraine

In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer explains why President Donald Trump is pressuring Ukraine over strikes on Russian refineries, and what his new deal to buy Russian diesel means for the war.

Trump warned Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky against hitting Russian refineries, first privately and then publicly. He said the strikes help push up diesel prices. Zelenskyy refused to back off. Trump then announced a deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin to buy diesel directly and let Russia export it more widely.

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America’s waning support for the death penalty

In the span of just over a week, US states carried out a failed execution and completed one by lethal injection, while Pentagon Chief Pete Hegseth has announced plans to livestream an execution of Nidal Hasan, the man convicted of carrying out a mass shooting at a military base in 2009.

The events have reignited a decades-old debate over capital punishment in a country with around 2,000 prisoners on death row. Opponents have pushed for an end to the penalty after Christa Pike’s botched execution, while supporters have doubled down, arguing that the punishment remains appropriate despite concerns about how it is carried out. Even Pope Leo XIV weighed in, denouncing the death penalty as “inadmissible” one day after senior Church officials decried the Pentagon’s plans to livestream the Fort Hood shooter’s execution.

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The EU has new plans to limit the flow of Chinese-made goods into the continent to address its massive trade imbalance with China. China exported more than $7.5 billion worth of electric vehicles to the bloc in the first half of this year, nearly three times as much as during the same period last year. An estimated 800,000 Chinese-made fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles are expected to be sold in the bloc this year. But the EU’s new restrictions come as rising fuel prices worldwide drive a surge in demand for electric vehicles. The question now is whether European automakers can fill the gap left by Chinese imports.

Houthis ramp up attacks on Saudi Arabia

Attacks by the Yemen-based Houthis in Saudi Arabia over the weekend killed over a dozen people, including a US citizen, and injured hundreds of others. Strikes on Riyadh’s international airport Saturday were the deadliest attack in any Gulf Arab nation since the Iran war began, and marked a significant escalation of the country’s conflict with the Iran-backed militants. President Donald Trump responded that Washington may join Saudi Arabia in its retaliation against the Houthis in Yemen. But he may be hesitant to do so before the US midterms next month, given the widespread disapproval of the war in Iran. Meanwhile, Riyadh worries the conflict jeopardizes its efforts to attract tourism and transform its oil-dependent economy. France and the UK have pledged support, as have Pakistan and Turkey under a new mutual defense pact. But Riyadh will still want the backing of the US, its key ally and the world’s most powerful military.

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Aaron David Miller explains how the group holds onto control – and why Palestinians have struggled to challenge their own leaders.
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Three years after October 7, Gaza remains locked in conflict, Israel is heading into a pivotal election, and its relationship with the US is under growing strain. Former US Middle East negotiator Aaron David Miller joins Ian Bremmer to discuss what comes next for Israel and a rapidly changing Middle East.

Gaza remains divided and without a clear path forward. Hamas has been severely weakened militarily but retains significant influence, while Palestinians continue to face difficult humanitarian conditions and little prospect of a political breakthrough.

On the GZERO World Podcast, Ian Bremmer sits down with former US Middle East negotiator Aaron David Miller to take stock of Israel and the region three years later. They discuss why Hamas has proven so difficult to dislodge, what Israel’s October 27 election could actually change, and why a new government may look different at home without dramatically changing Israel’s approach to Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran.

They also examine the changing US-Israel relationship as bipartisan support erodes, Israel’s shifting image among Americans, and a regional balance increasingly shaped by Israel, Turkey, and Iran. Miller argues that changing leadership could improve Washington’s relationship with Israel – but that the broader Middle East remains deeply fragmented, with few signs of an easy way out.

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Aaron David Miller breaks down where Gaza stands today and why its future remains so uncertain. Former US Middle East negotiator Aaron David Miller says Israel and Hamas remain fundamentally at odds over security, governance, and reconstruction, leaving little prospect for a lasting political solution.

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Three years after the October 7 attacks, the Middle East looks very different, and Gaza remains without a clear path forward. Hamas retains influence despite being severely weakened militarily, while millions of Palestinians continue to face difficult humanitarian conditions.
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At least seven masked men deactivated alarms and cameras at the Antinori winery before using the company’s forklifts to fill two trucks with crates of the winery’s reds. The thieves deliberately targeted higher-end bottles worth between €150 and €500 each, leading Antinori to suggest that they may have had insider knowledge of the winery. Antinori hopes to have the bottles returned, warning customers to buy only directly from the source. This isn’t the first such theft in Italy this year. Just last month, thieves stole 3,000 bottles from Conterno Fantino winery, although Antinori believes it may be the biggest in recent history.

Ethiopia claims “all-out invasion” by Eritrea

Ethiopia has told the UN that troops from neighboring Eritrea penetrated at least 60 meters across the border as long-standing tensions between the two East African countries threaten to boil over again. At issue is access to the Red Sea, which Ethiopia lost when Eritrea became independent after 30 years of war in 1993. The two sides signed a historic peace accord in 2018, and a heavily militarized Eritrea supported the Ethiopian government in its war against Tigray rebels from 2020 to 2022. But relations frayed soon after, and in 2023, Ethiopia declared it would restore access to the sea, a pledge Eritrea viewed as a threat. In recent weeks, border tensions have flared again, while the Ethiopian government has also accused Eritrea of now supporting a fresh uprising by Tigray rebels. A wider war between Ethiopia and Eritrea could destabilize East Africa and the Red Sea coast at a time when the war in Iran has already raised risks in the region.

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