Ian Explains
Ian Explains: How Israel & Iran went from friends to enemies

Ian Explains: How Israel & Iran went from friends to enemies | GZERO World

Fun fact: Israel and Iran used to be friends…sort of.
Israel and Iran's complex relationship in the Middle East has seen dramatic shifts, to say the least, Ian Bremmer explains on GZERO World. Iran, as with most of the rest of the Middle East, originally opposed the creation of Israel in 1948 and its UN membership in 1949. But Israel, Iran and Turkey's shared interests as non-Arab states in the region led to covert trade relationships and an intelligence-sharing program codenamed 'Trident Alliance' from 1956 to 1979.
The Iranian Revolution in 1979, however, led to a staunchly anti-Zionist regime in Tehran. In 2023, the major concern is Iran's influence, particularly through Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, which possesses a formidable missile arsenal dwarfing that of Hamas. Iran's proxies, like the Houthi militias in Yemen, have been targeting US assets, resulting in the redirection of the US military in the region and even airstrikes in Eastern Syria.
But there’s a big difference between skirmishes with Iran proxy forces and an all-out US-Israel-Iran war. And given Iran’s nuclear ambitions, that’s something that absolutely no-one, including the Ayatollah in Tehran, wants.
At the 2026 US Canada Summit in Toronto, hosted by Eurasia Group and RBC, Ian Bremmer breaks down the idea of a US-China “Thucydides Trap,” where rising and dominant powers collide.
The interim agreement to end the war, signed by both sides on Wednesday, appears to tilt toward Iran. But the regime remains vulnerable.
On June 14, the US and Iran announced a deal to end the war. A signing ceremony is set for Friday. The terms include an immediate ceasefire on all fronts. With both sides spinning the deal as a victory, there are plenty of ways for this to go wrong.
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