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From Olympic Games to War Games?

From Olympic Games to War Games?

That 13-year-old kid shredded Vivaldi like a young Korean Yngwie. Ivanka was the smartest person and clapped for everyone. The Olympic torch took off for Tokyo and — despite the sporting rapprochement between North and South that happened at the Winter Games — we’re now back to the acute geopolitical crisis surrounding North Korea’s nuclear program.


Despite the Olympian goodwill, the basic parameters of the standoff haven’t changed since the Opening Ceremony. North Korea wants a nuclear weapon that can hit the continental US. Washington wants to strip North Korea of its nuclear capacity altogether. Kim Jong-un seems unfazed — nuclear weapons are an existential matter for him. The Chinese are annoyed with Kim, but still unwilling to push him to the brink of collapse just to stop him for the Americans. And so it’s deadlock.

But two things are likely to inflame tensions further in the coming months. First, the regularly-scheduled joint US and South Korean military drills, which were postponed in order to avoid piquing Pyongyang during the Olympic games, are likely to go ahead. Second, seeing that the thaw with Seoul appears not to have warmed hearts in Washington, Kim Jong-un is almost certain to test another big missile before long.

The big question here is whether he’ll attempt his own triple-axel move: a horizontal missile test across the Pacific coupled with an atmospheric test of a bomb. Doing that might be beyond the pale even for Kim — but then again, the pale’s been steadily moving out for a while now…

Empathy and listening are key to establishing harmonious relationships, as demonstrated by Callista Azogu, GM of Human Resources & Organization for Nigerian Agip Oil Company (NAOC), an Eni subsidiary in Abuja. "To build trust is very difficult. To destroy it is very easy," says Callista, whose busy days involve everything from personnel issues to union relationships. She sees great potential for her native Nigeria not only because of the country's natural resources, but because of its vibrant and creative people.

Learn more about Callista in this episode of Faces of Eni.

Saturday will mark the beginning of an historic turning point for European politics as 1,001 voting members of Germany's Christian Democratic Union, the party of Chancellor Angela Merkel, hold an online conference to elect a new leader.

Here are the basic facts:

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Does Cuba belong back on the US's State Sponsors of Terrorism list? The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board showed their support for Secretary of State Mike Pompeo's decision on this issue in a recent opinion piece, "Cuba's Support for Terror." But in this edition of The Red Pen, Ian Bremmer and Eurasia Group analysts Risa Grais-Targow, Jeffrey Wright and Regina Argenzio argue that the WSJ's op-ed goes too far.

We are now just a few days away from the official end of Donald Trump's presidency, but the impacts of his latest moves in office will obviously last far beyond Joe Biden's inauguration. There's the deep structural political polarization, the ongoing investigations into the violence we saw at the Capitol, lord knows what happens over the next few days, there's also last-minute policy decisions here and abroad. And that's where we're taking our Red Pen this week, specifically US relations with Cuba.

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Watch Jon Lieber, who leads Eurasia Group's coverage of political and policy developments in Washington, lend perspective to this week's historic impeachment proceedings.

Impeachment. President Trump became the first president ever to be impeached twice this week. And the question on everybody's mind is will he be convicted in the Senate? And I think the answer right now is we just don't know. I'd probably bet against it. There was a really strong Republican vote against impeaching him in the House, with only 10 of the over 100 Republicans breaking with the President and voting to impeach him. And the question now is in the Senate, is there more support for a conviction? Senate Majority Leader McConnell has indicated he's at least open to it and wants to hear some of the facts. And I expect you're going to hear a lot of other Republicans make the same statement, at least until the trial begins.

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They call it Einstein. It's the multibillion-dollar digital defense system the US has used to catch outside hackers and attackers since 2003. But it was no match for what's looking like one of the biggest cyber breaches in US history. Ian Bremmer breaks it down.

Watch the GZERO World episode: Cyber attack: an act of espionage or war?

The GZERO World Podcast with Ian Bremmer. Listen now.

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