US Politics

Is there turmoil in the Trump reelection campaign?

Well there's turmoil among Trump's pollsters. Some internal numbers leaked out showing the president doing very badly in battleground states. Trump denied them and then fired a bunch of the pollsters. So yeah a little turmoil there.

Is Mick Mulvaney on thin-ice with President Trump?

I don't think he is. Trump clearly doesn't like it when Mulvaney coughs during interviews as we saw in the ABC piece. But Mulvaney is well-liked in the White House and by Trump. So I think he's OK.

Which Democrats are getting the most support from Wall Street?

It's really a top three there. Joe Biden is the number one pick. He's fairly moderate and people think he can win. The other two: Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg are gaining a lot of Wall Street support.

And finally for The Rant: my rant this week is about Art Laffer, a conservative economist who's going to get the Presidential Medal of Freedom this week. Last week he blamed President Obama for the Great Recession, which is one of the more ridiculous things I've ever heard. That recession obviously started well before Obama, it was the financial crisis, the collapse of the mortgage market and the near failure of the banking system - to blame Obama is absurd.

Is the deal with Mexico a huge win or a mirage?

Well it's largely a mirage. These are things the Mexicans have alreadyagreed to do on the border, coupled with agricultural purchases that Trump appears to have entirely fabricated.

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Will Congressman Justin Amash's call for impeachment change anything?

I don't think it fundamentally changes anything. It gives Democrats a little cover to say there's bipartisan support for impeachment but not a lot of Republicans are going to jump on that train.

Can Joe Biden win in the industrial Midwest?

He absolutely can. He's got a lot of blue collar support. Trump's trade war is hurting him across the industrial Midwest. So Biden's a real threat to Trump there, if he gets the nomination.

Will abortion be a big issue in 2020?

Well now it will, with the restrictive law in Alabama and elsewhere. That's going to galvanize the women's vote. Probably get some evangelicals even more excited for Trump. So yes, big issue 2020.

Final question today is - The Rant. And my rant is on President Trump tweeting today about how all of Wall Street wanted to do business with him but he just liked Deutsche Bank better than the rest. Simply not true. Banks across Wall Street stopped doing business with Trump because he was too much of a risk. And they just didn't want his business. So surprise, surprise, Trump is tweeting things that aren't accurate.

How much will the China trade war hurt American citizens?

It's already hurting them a lot, particularly farmers. It's going to hurt more now that China is retaliating again. And if we go to 25% tariffs on everything China exports to the United States, that's much higher consumer prices, bad for consumers, bad for markets, going to hurt.

Does all the impeachment talk help Donald Trump's re-election effort?

I don't think so at this point. I certainly don't think it drives swing voters to him. I think if it drags on forever and Democrats don't make a decision, then it could be beneficial to Trump, but right now I don't see it helping him motivate his hardcore base - but they're already motivated.

Is breaking up Facebook becoming a litmus test for Democrats?

I don't know about quite breaking it up, but certainly talking about the possibility and more broadly about the power of Facebook and other big tech giants is definitely important for all Democratic candidates.

Will Don Jr. testify before the Senate?

He certainly doesn't want to, his father doesn't want him to. Plenty of Republican senators say don't do it. I don't know how he ultimately avoids it but he's going to try to delay it. His lawyers will try to delay it so it could take some time.

Can trump stop Robert Mueller from testifying on Capitol Hill?

No, he can't stop it. He could try to slow it down with legal challenges, maybe even invoke executive privilege, but he cannot stop it.

What's up with all of Trump's tweets about China over the weekend?

I'm told by an administration official that Trump is trying to force China's hand to get a deal done by Friday, it could backfire. The Chinese do not like these kind of tactics.

Can Jared Kushner get his immigration plan through Capitol Hill?

No, there's people lining up on left and right already opposing it. Immigration had proved incredibly challenging over the last decade to get anything done. And Jared Kushner is not going to be the one who solves that.

Is Mayor Pete Buttigieg a moderate Democrat?

Well it's tough to slot him into any particular category but he's definitely more moderate than Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren. He's also for 'Medicare for All' and fixing the environment. But he does care about debt and deficits and the long term impact on his generation.


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Will Don McGahn wind up testifying before Congress?

Really tough call. I think he probably will. I think that he wants to. White House will invoke executive privilege. There will be a legal fight. But if he gets up there, it could be like John Dean in 1973, because McGahn knows exactly what Trump said on firing Robert Mueller.

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Is the impeachment of President Trump more likely following the Mueller Report?

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How are Americans feeling about President Trump's tax cut bill?

Well, not very good. Polls suggests that it remains really unpopular. People feel like the rich and corporations got most of that tax cut and they didn't get very much.

What's the Dems' biggest achievement in their first 100 days in the House?

I'd say it's oversight of the Trump administration, having the gavels, calling people like Bill Barr up to testify. That'll continue to be their number one role in the House since they don't control the Senate.

Will the Mueller report reveal more details of collusion?

I'd say it's much more likely to give us details about potential obstruction rather than collusion, but I'm not sure there will be huge blockbusters in there.

Is President Trump moving to consolidate power?

Obviously he is. He's cleared out DHS, he's got acting directors or leaders in six agencies not Senate confirmed. He's absolutely moving to consolidate power in himself and the executive branch.



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