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What We’re Watching: Mariupol on the brink, Pakistan’s new leader, Finland’s NATO bid

What We’re Watching: Mariupol on the brink, Pakistan’s new leader, Finland’s NATO bid

Pro-Russian troops inspect streets in the southern port city of Mariupol, Ukraine.

REUTERS/Alexander Ermochenko
By Tracy Moran,
Tracy Moran
Tracy Moran was a former managing editor at GZERO Media. Tracy has 20+ years of experience as a print and digital journalist, having worked for USA Today, Deutsche Welle, OZY, and newspapers and digital outlets in the UK and Germany. She lived in Europe for several years and now lives with her family near Washington, DC. Tracy earned her Master's in international affairs from George Washington University, where she specialized in West European and Middle Eastern politics.
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Alex Kliment,
Alex Kliment
Alex wears a few different caps and tips them all regularly. He writes for the GZERO Daily, works as a field correspondent for GZERO's nationally syndicated TV show GZERO WORLD WITH IAN BREMMER, and writes/directs/voices GZERO's award-winning puppet satire show PUPPET REGIME. Prior to joining GZERO, Alex worked as an analyst covering Russia and broader Emerging Markets for Eurasia Group. He has also written for the Financial Times from Washington, DC, and Sao Paulo Brazil. In his spare time, he makes short films and composes scores for long ones. He studied history and Slavic literature at Columbia and has a Master's from Johns Hopkins SAIS. He's a native New Yorker, a long-suffering Mets fan, and owns too many bicycles.
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Willis Sparks
Willis Sparks
Willis Sparks is a senior editor for GZERO Daily. He is also a Director in the Global Macro practice at Eurasia Group, where he has worked since 2005. He has made speeches on international politics on every continent except Antarctica. Willis holds degrees from Brown University, the Juilliard School, Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs, and the Institut d'Etudes Politiques in Paris. He also holds an honorary degree from the Moscow Art Theatre School. A native of Macon, Georgia, Willis has worked as a stuntman at New York's Metropolitan Opera. As a child, he declined an opportunity to spend an afternoon riding the Great American Scream Machine, a rollercoaster, with Ronald McDonald, for money. He has never regretted that decision.
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April 11, 2022
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Is Mariupol on the brink?

The fight for the strategic southeastern Ukrainian port of Mariupol continues to rage. Unconfirmed reports late Monday pointed to the possible use of chemical weapons dropped by a Russian drone. US and British officials said they were monitoring reports of the possible chemical attack. The fate of Mariupol is critical for the next phase of the war. If Russia is able to take the city, it would be able to do two things: establish a land bridge to Crimea and punch northward as part of a broader effort to encircle Ukrainian forces fighting in the Donbas. As Russia now points its army towards a full-fledged assault on eastern Ukraine, Kyiv has warned of the bloodiest land battles in Europe since World War II and pleaded for more military assistance from the West.

Can Sharif bring economic healing to Pakistan?

Pakistan’s new prime minister doesn’t have an enviable job. Parliament elected Shehbaz Sharif on Monday amid economic and political turmoil in the Islamic Republic following Imran Khan’s ouster on Saturday. Khan’s party resigned en masse on Monday, part of a larger mobilization of supporters the former PM hopes will lead to street protests and agitation against the new government. Sharif, meanwhile, hit the ground running on economic matters, raising the minimum wage and some government pensions — a bid to help average Pakistanis cope with high inflation and soaring fuel prices. He is expected to form a broad coalition government and will aim to get Pakistan’s IMF funding back on track, along with electoral reforms, before calling a new election to try and secure a fresh mandate.

Finland edges toward NATO

Finland’s government is scheduled to issue a highly anticipated report on Thursday about the future of its security policy. If, as expected, the report argues that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has exposed new threats to the security of Finland, which shares an 830-mile-long border with Russia, its parliament will take up the question of whether to join the NATO alliance, a step Helsinki has long resisted. Public opinion in Finland has shifted. Just after Russia launched the war, polls showed for the first time that a majority of Finns favored NATO membership. A recent survey found that 61% favored joining, just 16% opposed it, and 23% were undecided. A similar debate is underway in Sweden, which might well follow Finland’s lead. Russian officials have warned of “political and military consequences” and that another expansion of NATO would force Russia to “rebalance the situation.” Finland and Sweden could formally apply as early as June, and NATO would probably accept them quickly.
europefinlandmariupolukraineshehbaz sharifimran khanasiarussia-ukraineukraine crisisnatopakistan

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