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Alabama Exit Polls

Alabama Exit Polls

Alabama elected a Democrat to the US Senate this week. For those unfamiliar with that state’s political tendencies, that’s the equivalent of the US president announcing that Russia is suddenly a key US ally. OK, bad analogy. Just call it a sizable surprise.


There are other reasons that Alabama’s vote made headlines. In a state that President Trump won last year by 28 percentage points, this week’s exit polls show that just 48% of voters approve of his job performance while 48% disapprove. The more startling stat is that just 32% strongly approve while 41% strongly disapprove.

Last year’s presidential vote totals and this year’s Senate race exit polls don’t make for an apples-to-apples comparison, and these numbers don’t prove that anyone in Alabama has changed his/her mind about Trump. Instead, they suggest that different people are turning out to vote in 2017 than cast ballots in 2016. In part, that’s because Alabama Republicans nominated a fantastically awful candidate for Senate.

But in a country where 42% of registered voters didn’t cast a ballot for president last year, elections turn on each side’s ability to motivate its supporters to show up on election day. With control of the House and Senate up for grabs in 2018, Alabama provides another sign that Dems are fired up and Republicans have cause for concern.

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It almost didn't happen — but here we are again. President Donald Trump and his Democratic challenger Joe Biden face off tonight in the final presidential debate of the 2020 US election campaign.

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Back in 2016, presidential candidate Donald Trump presented his vision for an "America First" foreign policy, which symbolized a radical departure from the US' longtime approach to international politics and diplomacy.

In electing Donald Trump, a political outsider, to the top job, American voters essentially gave him a mandate to follow through on these promises. So, has he?

Trade

"A continuing rape of our country."

On the 2016 campaign trail, candidate Trump said that the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) — a 12 country trade deal pushed by the Obama administration — would "rape" America's economy by imperiling the manufacturing sector, closing factories, and taking more jobs overseas.

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So, the US presidential election is now just days away, and today's selection is focusing on a specific aspect of foreign policy that will certainly change depending on who wins in the presidential contest—namely America's approach to Iran.

You've heard me talk before about the many similarities between Trump and Biden on some international policies, like on China or on Afghanistan. But Iran is definitely not one of those. Trump hated the JCPOA, the 2015 Iranian nuclear deal, put together under the Obama administration, and he walked away from it unilaterally. Joe Biden, if he were to become president, would try to bring it back.

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Following the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, US President George W. Bush demanded that Afghanistan's Taliban government surrender Osama bin Laden and end support for al-Qaeda. The Taliban refused.

On October 7, US bombs began falling on Taliban forces. NATO allies quickly pledged support for the US, and US boots hit the ground in Afghanistan two weeks later.

Thus began a war, now the longest in US history, that has killed more than 3,500 coalition soldiers and 110,000 Afghans. It has cost the American taxpayer nearly $3 trillion. US allies have also made human and material sacrifices.

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