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Cutouts of tanks with Ukrainian and Russian flags on a background map of Russian-occupied eastern Ukraine
by ian bremmer

Ukraine’s counteroffensive: Prospects for success, unity, and peace

Ian Bremmer is modestly optimistic about Ukraine’s odds.

Russian President Vladimir Putin during a meeting in St. Petersburg.
News

Russian revenge vs. Ukrainian resolve

Moscow's airstrikes to punish Kyiv for blowing up the Crimea bridge won't change the course of the war.

Medical workers treat injured people at Ameth Bek hospital after a drone strike on a market in the disputed Abyei region along the border between South Sudan and Sudan, October 19, 2026.
What We're Watching

South Sudan suffers drone strike, Romania finally gets a government, Colombia revives sea beef with Nicaragua

South Sudan is accusing neighboring Sudan of launching a drone strike that killed at least 73 people at a market in Abyei, a disputed, oil-rich region of roughly 4,000 square miles claimed by both countries.

Cars burn after a Russian military strike in central Kyiv.
News

What We’re Watching: Terror in Kyiv, World Bank/IMF meetings

Putin lashes out after Crimea bridge blast, doom & gloom at World Bank/IMF meetings