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Is the US–Iran crisis over?

Ben White, Chief Economic Correspondent for Politico, offers his analysis on today's big stories in US Politics:

Is the US-Iran crisis over?

I would say no, it's not over. It certainly de-escalated with some help from the Swiss as intermediaries. But Iran could still look to strike back really at any moment, on US oil interests, through cyberattacks. The nuclear deal is still nowhere. So, de-escalated, not over.

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First GOP Congressman Says Trump’s Conduct Is Impeachable

Will Congressman Justin Amash's call for impeachment change anything?

I don't think it fundamentally changes anything. It gives Democrats a little cover to say there's bipartisan support for impeachment but not a lot of Republicans are going to jump on that train.

Can Joe Biden win in the industrial Midwest?

He absolutely can. He's got a lot of blue collar support. Trump's trade war is hurting him across the industrial Midwest. So Biden's a real threat to Trump there, if he gets the nomination.

Will abortion be a big issue in 2020?

Well now it will, with the restrictive law in Alabama and elsewhere. That's going to galvanize the women's vote. Probably get some evangelicals even more excited for Trump. So yes, big issue 2020.

Final question today is - The Rant. And my rant is on President Trump tweeting today about how all of Wall Street wanted to do business with him but he just liked Deutsche Bank better than the rest. Simply not true. Banks across Wall Street stopped doing business with Trump because he was too much of a risk. And they just didn't want his business. So surprise, surprise, Trump is tweeting things that aren't accurate.

How the US-China trade war hurts Americans

How much will the China trade war hurt American citizens?

It's already hurting them a lot, particularly farmers. It's going to hurt more now that China is retaliating again. And if we go to 25% tariffs on everything China exports to the United States, that's much higher consumer prices, bad for consumers, bad for markets, going to hurt.

Does all the impeachment talk help Donald Trump's re-election effort?

I don't think so at this point. I certainly don't think it drives swing voters to him. I think if it drags on forever and Democrats don't make a decision, then it could be beneficial to Trump, but right now I don't see it helping him motivate his hardcore base - but they're already motivated.

Is breaking up Facebook becoming a litmus test for Democrats?

I don't know about quite breaking it up, but certainly talking about the possibility and more broadly about the power of Facebook and other big tech giants is definitely important for all Democratic candidates.

Will Don Jr. testify before the Senate?

He certainly doesn't want to, his father doesn't want him to. Plenty of Republican senators say don't do it. I don't know how he ultimately avoids it but he's going to try to delay it. His lawyers will try to delay it so it could take some time.

Dems Consider Impeachment: US Politics in 60 Seconds

Is the impeachment of President Trump more likely following the Mueller Report?

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Virginia Dems in Trouble: US Politics in 60 Seconds

Both the governor and lieutenant governor face calls to resign.

It's US Politics in 60 Seconds with Ben White!


And go deeper on topics like cybersecurity and artificial intelligence at Microsoft on The Issues.