VIDEOSGZERO World with Ian BremmerQuick TakePUPPET REGIMEIan ExplainsGZERO ReportsAsk IanGlobal Stage
Site Navigation
Search
Human content,
AI powered search.
Latest Stories
Start your day right!
Get latest updates and insights delivered to your inbox.
US & Canada
Presented by
Ian Bremmer shares his insights on this week's World In (More Than) 60 Seconds:
Number one, the DNC is underway, the Democratic National Convention, how do you think the first night went?
Well, it's weird, right? Because it's virtual. But the fact that it's virtual means that everybody gets to practice their speeches and get the cinematic quality right, before it actually goes out. So, I mean, you know, when you've got a whole bunch of money and you've got Hollywood sensibilities advising you, you can make it look really good. And that's what they did. So, I mean, I do think it was entertaining, it was engaging. I think from a more meaningful, substantive perspective, it is pretty clear that you have a broader tent that is focused on getting Trump out of office.
Now, I mean the other side of that is that Biden is not driving the train, right? I mean, there's not an immense amount of enthusiasm about the actual candidate. And Kamala Harris certainly helps, but ultimately, Biden is the presidential candidate. And, you know, he's not going to inspire the way that Obama did, or Michelle Obama did last night. But certainly, I don't think you're going to have Bernie Sanders delegates, you know, opposing Biden the way many did during 2016 when I was at the both the Democratic and Republican National Conventions then. It was quite something to see, just the dissonance inside what was not one happy tent. Here, you've got a lot of people that are very motivated because everyone's angry with Trump. And I think with Kasich as well, who I, you know, I know pretty well. And I mean, you know, is an older guy from Ohio and it's an important swing state, but ultimately, I don't think Kasich is the person that swings more people to vote for Trump. It's just that there are also, in addition to the Bernie Sanders people being really anti Trump, there are a number of disenfranchised Republicans that are opposed to Trump, too. So, I think all of that, you know, certainly hurts.
And I also think it's true that Trump has criticized the fact that, well, they did these takes at different times so, you know, some people said 150,000, 160,000, 170,000 dead. In other words, they've been done over the last two weeks. True. But I mean, the fact is that the biggest crisis of my lifetime is happening right now. And, you know, President Trump didn't ask for that. It's not his fault that that's when it happened, but he's got the bag. And how he has seemed to respond to that crisis is a big piece of whether people are or are not going to vote for him. And, you know, the fact that that is 170,000 deaths and counting, right now, and the US economy is hurting, right now, is a real uphill lift.
And I've seen a lot of people saying, "well, if it wasn't for coronavirus, the economy would be doing really well. And, you know, what would the Democrats have to run on?" Sure, but of course, you're going to run on the biggest crisis that we've felt in our lifetimes. And Trump's direct leadership of that crisis has been lacking. And I think that's why Michelle Obama's speech was so powerful. It's not that everyone in the world loves Michelle, it's that she focused on the fact that Trump is not handling the crisis very well. This idea that, you know, well, "it is what it is." That line was so damning because it was Trump's response to all of the people that have died on coronavirus, you know, while he's president.
So, you know, that's where I think the DNC is. You know, it's virtual, a lot of people are watching it, I guess it's giving enthusiasm. I don't think it's going to give that much of a bump to Biden. And by the way, I do think that the numbers are going to get tighter between Biden and Trump as you get close to elections. Why? Because coronavirus numbers are coming down and hopefully will continue to come down as we learn more about it, and as there is more social distancing, and more mask wearing, and the rest, and also because the economy is going to continue to rebound. So, I mean, I wouldn't be complacent if I was a Democrat right now.
What is going on in New Zealand?
Well, President Trump said that there is a new outbreak, a big surge, in New Zealand, which is true. It's nine people. And that is a big surge for New Zealand because they had no cases for 100 days in the whole country and they had gotten back to normal. I mean, you know, gyms, sporting events, nightclubs, you name it. Can't do that now. Auckland is the capital, basically, excuse me, Aukland is the biggest city in New Zealand, not the capital, is under lockdown right now. And that's because they don't want to have spiraling cases. That's pretty impressive. It also means that they are delaying their national elections for four weeks, which is perfectly legal for them to do. And it's because they want to make sure that they have as much control over this virus as they possibly can. And there is very little to learn from New Zealand for the United States. They are an isolated country with relatively small population. It's not dense, densely populated. The one thing you can learn is that taking a pandemic seriously and leading with science and experts is that generally smart thing to do. But aside from that, I wouldn't say very much.
With China's vice grip over Hong Kong tightening, will the US recognize Taiwan sovereignty?
No, I don't think so. The US has an ambiguous position on Taiwanese sovereignty, does not recognize China's position, but it also does not formally recognize Taiwanese sovereignty. It is certainly moving more in that direction with the recent decision to send Cabinet Secretary Azar, of Health and Human Services, to Taiwan. I would say that is moving up to a Chinese red line, but not actually crossing it. My sense from the Trump administration is that they don't want to actually cross red lines in the coming weeks because they don't want a crisis with the Chinese. They just want to continue to show they're the toughest out there. Having said that, that's what the advisers are saying. What President Trump actually does, you know, is at the end of the day up to him. But I'd be really surprised if they move on this. Taiwan's never been a significant issue for President Trump himself. And Pompeo, the Secretary of State, knows what those red lines are.
Finally, will Russia intervene in Belarus?
This is a big and open question, and I don't think they will. We do see Russian troops moving up to the Belarus border. And keep in mind, Belarus is connected to Russia, but otherwise borders on NATO states, the Baltics and Poland. And the Russians have claimed that there is the potential for external intervention and warned countries, and said this with Merkel, the chancellor of Germany, warned them against external intervention. And that the Russians said they would intercede if there was external intervention. So, I think what Putin is doing is basically showing the international community that Belarus is still going to be under Russian influence. And by the way, the Belarusian people who hate Lukashenko, the president, have no problem with a continued political alignment towards Russia. But Putin is also making it clear to Lukashenko that he's not intending to intervene. Russian state media is focusing a great deal on the demonstrations. Putin has said very little about Lukashenko and the domestic situation in Belarus itself.
This reminds me very much of two years ago with Armenia when the Russians allowed a Coloured Revolution, a Velvet Revolution, to remove a kleptocratic government and bring in a prime minister who was anti corrupt, but still Armenia, very aligned towards Russia for military purposes, for economic and trading purposes and otherwise. And I think that is the case with Belarus. If the Russians were to militarily intervene to prop up an incredibly unpopular and very incompetent Lukashenko government, they would end up with lots of Belarussians directly opposing them. And for that reason, I'd be very surprised if Putin intervenes militarily.
That does mean it is more likely that Lukashenko is forced out. But so far, the military forces in Belarus have been supporting him. And until we see significant breaches there, the potential for more violence is quite significant. I mean, frankly, if the Russians were to intervene, I think they would actually squeeze politically and economically Lukashenko to leave if it looks like he really is that his last thread, and he's starting to use violence, allowing him to get out of the country and giving him a place of exile, but facilitating a new Belarusian government that ultimately would more reflect the interests of the people but would have a good relationship with Russia. That's where I think we're going, a bright spot in otherwise a pretty gloomy geopolitical outlook.
Keep reading...Show less
More from US & Canada
Walmart's $350 billion commitment to American jobs
December 03, 2025
Quick Take
Dec 02, 2025
What’s next for Zelensky?
December 02, 2025
ask ian
Dec 02, 2025
Tools and Weapons – In Conversation with Ed Policy
December 01, 2025
The kids are not alright
December 01, 2025
Puppet Regime
Nov 29, 2025
Turkeys reject Trump's pardon
November 26, 2025
Graphic Truth: Turkey is cheaper, but inflation still gobbles
November 26, 2025
Five stories to be thankful for
November 26, 2025
Bolsonaro reacts as Trump scraps Brazil tariffs
November 25, 2025
Pakistan slides deeper into autocracy
November 25, 2025
Is Trump’s trade strategy backfiring abroad?
November 25, 2025
Toppling Maduro would be "the easy part" says former Ambassador
November 25, 2025
Tools and Weapons – In Conversation with Ed Policy
November 24, 2025
Europe divided as US pushes Ukraine-Russia peace deal
November 24, 2025
Japan-China spat over Taiwan escalates
November 24, 2025
Anatomy of a Scam
November 24, 2025
GZERO World with Ian Bremmer
Nov 24, 2025
Gaming out a US-Venezuela war with ambassador James Story
November 22, 2025
Trump, Zelensky, and Putin discuss Ukraine peace deal
November 21, 2025
Ian stands in line for a bagel, the internet melts down
November 21, 2025
Ian Explains
Nov 21, 2025
20 years after Merkel, men still hold most top offices
November 21, 2025
You vs. the News: A Weekly News Quiz
November 21, 2025
Three issues dividing the EU right now
November 20, 2025
Tap and go: The future of urban mobility
November 20, 2025
Trump’s risky Venezuela strategy, explained
November 19, 2025
Graphic Truth: Europe tries to fill US void in Ukraine funding
November 19, 2025
The AI economy takes shape
November 19, 2025
A Trump Doctrine of heavy footsteps and many levers
November 19, 2025
GZERO Europe
Nov 19, 2025
Putin wants Trump to DO IT
November 18, 2025
The Debrief
Nov 18, 2025
Tools and Weapons – In Conversation with Ted Sarandos
November 18, 2025
Walmart's $350 billion commitment to American jobs
November 18, 2025
Canada’s government survives budget vote
November 18, 2025
Sorkin: A financial crisis is coming and CEOs are scared to speak out
November 18, 2025
Could Trump have handled the Epstein issue any worse?
November 17, 2025
The Saudi crown prince returns to Washington
November 17, 2025
Anatomy of a Scam
November 17, 2025
Will "AI euphoria" crash the markets?
November 17, 2025
Andrew Ross Sorkin says the next financial crisis is coming
November 15, 2025
Is the AI bubble about to burst?
November 14, 2025
You vs. the News: A Weekly News Quiz - November 14, 2025
November 14, 2025
After a season of upheavals, Chile goes back to the polls
November 14, 2025
Graphic Truth: Inflation plunges in Argentina
November 13, 2025
Viewpoint: When Chinese robots replace service jobs
November 13, 2025
GZERO Reports
Nov 13, 2025
Calm down about Zohran Mamdani
November 12, 2025
Lights out in Ukraine, prices up in Europe
November 12, 2025
What’s Good Wednesdays™, November 12, 2025
November 12, 2025
Profits hold while hiring slows
November 12, 2025
Walmart's $350 billion commitment to American jobs
November 12, 2025
Democrats divided over government shutdown deal
November 11, 2025
Microsoft’s $15.2 billion USD investment in the UAE
November 11, 2025
Democrats vote with Republicans: Spineless or Machiavellian?
November 11, 2025
Is a US-India détente near?
November 11, 2025
The surprising similarities between China and the US
November 11, 2025
Trump escalates sanctions against Russia
November 10, 2025
GZERO Series
GZERO Daily: our free newsletter about global politics
Keep up with what’s going on around the world - and why it matters.



















































































