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Donald Trump speaking during an address to the nation on July 16, 2026.
What We're Watching

Trump revives election fraud claims, Le Pen says ‘non merci’ to Musk, Nicaragua gives Italy the boot

The US president used a primetime address last night to argue America’s election system is broken and vulnerable to “rigging.” He pointed to documents he says show Chinese interference in the 2020 vote. But the evidence Trump offered, along with past assessments from the intelligence community, doesn’t support his broadest claims.

The day after announcing her candidacy for the 2027 presidential election, Marine Le Pen visits La Fleche, in the Sarthe department, on July 8, 2026.​
by ian bremmer

Europe’s most consequential vote since Brexit starts now

After a French court shortened her ban on holding public office, Marine Le Pen announced that she will run for president again next year. But can she finally win?

Out of Le Pen-alty box
Hard Numbers

Out of Le Pen-alty box

Le Pen, who leads the National Rally party, can run for president for a fourth time next year in 2027, after the Paris Court of Appeals shortened her ban on holding public office.

​Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, Leader of the Dutch Party for Freedom Geert Wilders, French far-right leader Marine Le Pen, and Italy's deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Infrastructure and Transport Matteo Salvini in Budapest, Hungary, on March 23, 2026.
Analysis

Has far-right populism peaked in Europe?

Viktor Orbán’s defeat in Sunday’s Hungarian election could be a tipping point on the continent.

Marine Le Pen, French member of parliament and parliamentary leader of the far-right National Rally (Rassemblement National - RN) party and Jordan Bardella, president of the French far-right National Rally (Rassemblement National - RN) party and member of the European Parliament, gesture during an RN political rally in Bordeaux, France, September 14, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: France’s Bardella would win an election today, Trump’s support among Latinos falls, Fox hunts for a seat in the Bahamas, and Hitler returns

​Jordan Bardella, president of Rassemblement National or National Rally, gives a speech and flies French flags at a rally in support of Marine le Pen after her conviction on April 6, 2025.
What We're Watching

Could Jordan Bardella become France’s youngest president?

Jordan Bardella, the 29-year-old president of France’s far-right National Rally, aka RN, has announced his readiness to run for the country’s presidency in 2027 if current party leader Marine Le Pen remains barred from contesting the race.

​Marine Le Pen spoke at a support rally organized in Paris on Sunday.
What We're Watching

Le Pen supporters protest her electoral ban in Paris

Thousands of supporters of France’s far right gathered at Place Vauban in Paris on Sunday to support Marine Le Pen, leader of the National Rally party. The three-time presidential candidate was recently convicted of embezzling European Union funds to pay staff, resulting in a five-year ban on holding public office, effectively barring her from France’s 2027 presidential election.

National Rally leader Marine Le Pen poses prior to an interview on the evening news broadcast of French TV channel TF1 on March 31, 2025.
What We're Watching

Can France’s Marine Le Pen run again?

National Rally leader Marine Le Pen was found guilty by a French court on Monday for embezzling European Parliament funds, and faces a five-year ban from running for public office.

Will Marine Le Pen's conviction really keep her out of French politics?
Quick Take

Will Marine Le Pen's conviction really keep her out of French politics?

France's 2027 election just took a twist with Marine Le Pen's conviction. But is she really out of the 2027 race? What does it mean for Europe's political landscape? Ian Bremmer analyzes the fallout in this Quick Take.

​French far-right leader Marine Le Pen
What We're Watching

Le Pen barred from running from office after embezzlement conviction

Oh là là! A French court on Monday found National Rally leader Marine Le Pen guilty of misappropriating European funds to her far-right party, and barred the three-time presidential candidate barred from running for office for the next five years. Le Pen has denied wrongdoing and said last November, “It’s my political death that’s being demanded.”