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China's global ambitions & plummeting relationship with the US

"US/China relations have been plummeting. Pretty much everything is getting worse," Ian Bremmer tells viewers in this week's episode of GZERO World. In this commentary on the current state of play between the two global powerhouses, Bremmer breaks down the chess game that could be leading to a new Cold War: Travel between the two sides is restricted. Trade and tech competition abound. Beijing is consolidating control over Hong Kong and threatening Taiwan, while its internment of Uighurs has grown more severe. Meanwhile, Europe and developing nations alike are left with a very difficult choice.

Trump won't back off TikTok ban; China may react against US tech firms

Ian Bremmer shares his perspective on global politics on this week's World In (More Than) 60 Seconds:

Donald Trump, TikTok, and Microsoft. What's the story?

Well, the story is that this incredibly successful app that teenagers everywhere seem to really love is functionally owned by China, they are based in the Cayman Islands, registered there, but the Chinese government has itself said that TikTok is a Chinese firm. And that means that the United States, which is involved in a technology Cold War with China, has been looking to hit Chinese tech firms and make it much more difficult for them to act in the United States. I remember there was one Chinese firm that was trying to buy Grindr, which is this app where I think, you know, men can meet men for dating and whatnot, and the idea, in Congress especially, saying, "oh, my God, we can't possibly have China having data like that." Well, I mean, same sort of thing.

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Quick Take: Cautious COVID optimism, TikTok & China sanctions

Ian Bremmer's Quick Take:

Happy Monday, we are in August, summer, should be taking it a little easier. Coronavirus not taking the stress levels off but hopefully giving people the excuse, if you're not traveling so much, be close with your families, your loved ones and all that. Look, this is not a philosophical conversation, this is a talk about what's happening in the world, a little Quick Take for you.

First of all, you know, I'm getting a little bit more optimistic about the news in the United States right now. Yes, honestly, I am. In part because the caseload is flattening across the country and it's reducing in some of the core states that have seen the greatest explosion in this continuation of the first wave. Yes, the deaths are going up and they should continue to for a couple of weeks because it is a lagging indicator in the United States. But the fact that deaths are going up does not say anything about what's coming in the next few weeks. That tells you what's happened in the last couple of weeks.

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From bad to worse: US/China relations with Zanny Minton Beddoes

On GZERO World, Ian Bremmer explores the escalating tension between the world's two biggest geopolitical and economic players—the US and China. With guest Zanny Minton Beddoes, Editor-in-Chief of The Economist, Bremmer discusses the modern history of China after the fall of the Soviet Union and why another Cold War might be inevitable.

Podcast: From Bad to Worse: US/China Relations with Zanny Minton Beddoes


On the GZERO World Podcast, Ian Bremmer explores the escalating tension between the world's two biggest geopolitical and economic players—the US and China. With guest Zanny Minton Beddoes, Editor-in-Chief of The Economist, Bremmer discusses the modern history of China after the fall of the Soviet Union and why another Cold War might be inevitable.

Is the US in a Cold War with China?

On the latest episode of GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, Zanny Minton Beddoes, Editor-in-Chief of The Economist, explains why, in her view, Cold War analogies fall short as tensions between the US and China rise. Unlike the former Soviet Union, China is an economic powerhouse and a trade partner and technology provider to nations around the world. Simply cutting off ties with China seems untenable, but, as she asks, "How can you safely continue that integration, continue that interaction, with a country whose ideology you absolutely don't share, and that you fundamentally don't trust." The full episode of GZERO World begins airing on US public television on Friday, July 31, 2020. Check local listings.

US vs China: everything's getting worse

Ian Bremmer's Quick Take:

Today, you got to talk about US-China because so much is going on.

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Where does the US-China trade war go from here?

Did the Philippine midterm election strengthen Duterte?

It certainly did. He won almost all the Senate seats that were up. He has the ability now to move ahead with constitutional reform. Something that has been challenging for him. Any economic and pro-investment pieces he wants to do, also aligning more with China because he wants more inbound investment. Even though it's not all that popular domestically. His drug war on the other hand is quite popular domestically. It's not internationally and certainly not with the drug lords.

How likely is a conflict in the Persian Gulf?

It's getting a little bit more likely. The Iranian economy is falling apart. The Americans are pressing and the Europeans can't help very much. And that means the Iranians are starting to pull themselves out of the nuclear deal something they really wanted to avoid doing. They were hoping they could last Trump out of one term administration. That means that the potential for an accident leading to escalation is growing still not likely but it's absolute something to worry about.

Where does the US-China trade war go from here?

Well it goes to Tokyo, where Trump and Xi Jinping are going to be meeting at the G20 summit. We've got to be worried about that, but I'm still kind of optimistic because the next round of tariffs, if they were to hit, are the ones that go directly on all the goods Americans buy - the iPhone for example - lots of things from China you see those prices go up. It's going to be much worse than what we've seen so far. I suspect that on balance it's close. It's not easy. It's publicly difficult. But I still think on balance we're going to end up with a deal between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump.

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