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​People inspect the damage at the site of an Israeli strike on Friday, in Bednayel, Bekaa valley, Lebanon, February 21, 2026.
What We're Watching

Israel reportedly warns Lebanon, China-Japan tiff escalates, Canada says it will give aid to Cuba

Israel indirectly warned Lebanon that it would strike its northern neighbor hard if the Iran-backed militia group Hezbollah gets involved in any future US-Iran conflict, two Lebanese officials told Reuters.

A woman prepares to throw trash on a street in downtown Havana, Cuba, February 16, 2026. ​
by ian bremmer

Venezuela cracked. Will Cuba follow?

The lights are going out in Cuba. There are no planes landing at Havana’s international airport; the jet fuel's gone. Buses have stopped running across most of the capital.

​A man throws trash on a street in downtown Havana, Cuba, February 16, 2026.
Hard Numbers

Cuba’s fuel shortage prompts garbage crisis, Cyclone in Madagascar kills dozens, China set for Lunar New Year travel, Israel issues Hamas disarmament deadline

41.5%: The proportion of Havana’s garbage trucks that were operational this month, according to state-run media, as Cuba’s fuel crisis prompts a garbage crisis.

Cuba's President Miguel Diaz-Canel waves a Cuban flag during a march outside the US Embassy in Havana, Cuba, on January 16, 2026.​
Analysis

What does Trump want from a faltering Cuba?

Soon after capturing Venezuelan strongman Nicolás Maduro, the US president called on Cuba to “make a deal, BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE.” But Cuba is not Venezuela, and it’s unclear what Trump is looking to get from the Communist-run island.