It’s Election Day in Canada on Monday, and many are wondering whether newly installed Liberal Prime Minister Mark Carney will complete a shocking comeback for the party of former PM Justin Trudeau. Final-day campaigning was impacted by a deadly car-ramming attack in Vancouver.
Despite the two parties narrowing by a point in the polls since they released their platforms this past week, looking at the arc of the race overall, it appears that the Conservatives peaked too early and the Liberals have made an impressive resurgence.
Canada’s 45th general election is less than two weeks away, and the nation faces a fraught political climate fueled by President Donald Trump’s tariffs and annexation threats towards the country. The election's outcome could have far-reaching impacts on Canada’s future and position in a fragmenting world. In an exclusive interview, GZERO’s Tasha Kheiriddin sits down with Eurasia Group‘s senior advisor John Baird and Vice Chairman Gerald Butts to unpack what’s at stake in Canada’s election, including key political players and the strategies behind their campaigns.
Canada’s federal election is on. The polls show a polarized contest between the Liberals and Conservatives, one dominated by Donald Trump and the question of who’s best-suited to deal with his tariff and annexation threats. Canadian nationalism has surged. The Liberal Party, recently down 25 points in the polls to the Conservatives, have seen their fortunes turn around under new leader and Prime Minister Mark Carney — a man who’s been all too keen to, ahem, adapt ideas from his top rival.
An internal memo from Canada’s New Democratic Party is warning candidates to prepare for a federal election call as early as March 10. The memo suggests that if former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney becomes leader of the Liberal Party on March 9, he might announce an election the next day and send Canadians to the polls this spring.
Resignation watch continues as Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is on vacation and mulling his political future. There’s no official word whether the Liberal Party leader will stay or go, but recent weeks have seen the probability of a departure rise.
The Canadian government has launched new draft regulations requiring oil and gas producers in the country to cut greenhouse gas emissions by a third in the next eight years alongside a cap-and-trade system for the industry.
An intense debate in the Canadian House of Commons has been about a humdrum trade deal update between Canada and Ukraine. Conservatives don't like that it references a carbon tax, and since Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has made “axing the tax” his No. 1 priority, he has withdrawn his party’s support for the deal. Governing Liberals, in turn, see an ulterior motive: the rise of right-wing, MAGA-style conservatism in Canada that has undermined the Conservative Party’s support for Ukraine.
The struggling government of Justin Trudeau tried Tuesday to cast itself as the group to handle the vital relationship with the United States — announcing a "Team Canada engagement strategy” at the end of a cabinet retreat — but observers are dubious about the government’s ability to pivot its way out of trouble by invoking the specter of Donald Trump.