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Fmr. U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks on the day of his court appearance in New York after being indicted by a Manhattan grand jury. Photo taken in Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., April 4, 2023.
Hard Numbers: Trump leads early, NPR & PBS quit Twitter, stopgap for Darien, global warming juices baseballs
49.3: FiveThirtyEight launched its national polling averages for the 2024 Republican presidential race this week, and Donald Trump leads the pack with 49.3% support. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis trails well behind with 26.2%, while fmr. VP Mike Pence and fmr. UN ambassador Nikki Haley are at 5.8% and 4.3%, respectively. Research finds that national polls done a year ahead of the election can reasonably predict the nominee.
2: NPR will stop posting on Twitter, becoming the first major outlet to ditch the bluebird since the platform began labeling news orgs that receive government funding as “state-affiliated media.” That designation is normally applied to outlets in autocratic countries that allow no editorial independence. Twitter CEO Elon Musk recently told the BBC (another “state-affiliated” media outlet) that he may change the label to “publicly funded.” PBS followed NPR's lead on Wednesday, so two major US media outlets have now said "bye-bye birdie."
88,000: The US, Panama, and Colombia are launching a two-month campaign to stem the northward flow of migrants across the perilous Darien Gap, which spans the Colombian-Panamanian border. Since January, more than 88,000 people have braved the crossing, over six times the number from the same period last year.
1: Did the Sports Almanac account for this? A recent study analyzing the past six decades of baseball and temperature data finds that thinner air from global warming accounted for 1% of home runs from 2010-2019. The number is expected to jump to 10% by 2100 – though the data is inconclusive on whether this can help the Mets.
Support for Moon hits record low amid prosecutor clash
SEOUL • South Korean President Moon Jae-in's support rate hit a record low as turmoil over the fate of the country's top prosecutor rocked his government, in a worrisome sign as he enters the latter stages of his administration.
Support for New Zealand's Ardern drops in latest poll but coalition still seen winning
WELLINGTON (REUTERS) - New Zealand's ruling Labour Party will need help from coalition partners to form a government after an Oct17 general election, the latest opinion polls showed on Monday (Sept 28), after it was previously on course to govern alone.
Australian PM Morrison's approval rating rises, poll shows
SYDNEY (REUTERS) - Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison's approval rating has risen slightly, a poll showed on Monday (Sept 21), as measures by the conservative government to tackle the coronavirus pandemic helped to maintain his popularity.
Trust in China falls sharply among Australians, Lowy poll finds
SYDNEY (REUTERS) - Trust in China among Australians has more than halved amid diplomatic and trade disputes, with only 23 per cent saying they trusted Beijing to act responsibly in the world compared to a 52 per cent reading two years ago, a major poll has found.
Do opinion polls work? Jury's still out
In Australia, the governing right-of-centre Liberal Party won re-election - a result so contrary to scores of previous polls, the country's Prime Minister Scott Morrison was moved to declare he had "always believed in miracles".
Australia's opposition Labor lead over government slips ahead of election: Poll
MELBOURNE (REUTERS, BLOOMBERG) - The opposition Labor Party's lead over Australia's conservative coalition government narrowed further, while a minor right-wing party gained support, a closely watched opinion poll showed on Monday (April 29) ahead of a general election on May 18.
More than 270 died from overwork-related illnesses in Indonesia elections
JAKARTA (REUTERS) - Ten days after Indonesia held the world's biggest single-day elections, more than 270 election staff have died, mostly of fatigue-related illnesses caused by long hours of work counting millions of ballot papers by hand, an official said on Sunday (April 28).