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​US President Donald Trump speaks during an executive order signing in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on Feb. 10, 2025. He ordered a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, escalating his efforts to protect politically important US industries with levies hitting some of the country's closest allies.
What We're Watching

A Trump economy caution light begins to flash

US inflation rose to 3% in January, surpassing the expectations of many economists. This increase is driven at least in part by a sharp jump in egg prices, the result of an avian flu outbreak. But there may be other pressures at play that can create serious political challenges for President Donald Trump and two of his policy priorities.

Gov. Tiff Macklem walks outside Bank of Canada building in Ottawa.
GZERO North

Are Canada & US headed toward soft landing?

Both economies might yet avoid a recession despite interest rate hikes to fight inflation.

Red cart full of dollars to show US inflation
News

Hard Numbers: US inflation cools down, Russian oil prices heat up, global hunger grows, Pakistan gets relief

US annual inflation hit 3% in June, the lowest rate in more than two years.

A trader works on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange.
by ian bremmer

How’s the US economy doing right now?

Even if you're not partisan, there’s enough conflicting data out there to confuse even the best, most apolitical economists.

Fed chair Jerome Powell leaves after a news conference in Washington, DC.
News

The Fed's last rate hike of 2023?

Maybe. But Jay Powell will want to keep his options open.

​Russian reservists recruited during a partial mobilisation of troops attend a ceremony before departing to the Russia-Ukraine conflict zone, in the Rostov region, Russia October 31, 2022.
News

What We're Watching: Russian draft goes online, abortion pill ruling, US inflation slows, Taiwan gets new presidential candidate, Biden bets big on EVs

Russia’s digital draft; US inflation cools — smartphones FTW; Will this man become Taiwan's next president?; Biden’s ambitious new EV proposal

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un with his daughter Kim Ju Ae at a banquet in Pyongyang, North Korea.
News

Hard Numbers: North Korea bans a name, US inflation stays warm, aid trucks cross into Syria, Ukrainians freeze sperm

The number of North Korean girls who are allowed to have the same name as Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un’s daughter Kim Ju-Ae is now, reportedly, zero.

A man counts Lebanese pound banknotes at an exchange shop in Beirut, Lebanon.
News

Hard Numbers: Lebanon devalues lira even more, Adani calls off share sale, Fed slows hiking pace, radioactive capsule found in Oz, Philippines opens more bases to US

Hordes of shoppers throng the Macy's Herald Square flagship store in New York on Black Friday.
News

Exclusive polling data: Is inflation turning Americans into Grinches?

We’re excited to unveil a new exclusive polling partnership with the survey firm Maru Public Opinion. First up: How much are Americans reaching for their wallets this holiday season?

A scale showing the balance of power in the US congress tipping in favor of Republicans on a backdrop of a rising inflation chart.
US & Canada

Why US partisan gridlock might be good for the economy, stupid

Who wins in a deadlocked Congress on economic matters after the midterms? The Fed.