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us midterm elections

​Outgoing and term-limited North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper on Nov. 5, 2024.
Analysis

The hottest US midterm race is in North Carolina

Next year’s race for North Carolina’s open Senate seat is predicted to be the most expensive in US election history. Winning it might not be enough for Democrats to flip the upper chamber, but it would put them in a much stronger position going into 2028.

U.S. Senator Raphael Warnock (D-GA) speaks during an election night party
News

The Peach State has spoken

Sen. Raphael Warnock narrowly defeated his GOP rival Herschel Walker, of former NFL fame, to give Dems a 51-seat majority in the upper chamber.

Collage showing a red elephant, the symbol of the Republican Party, the US Capitol and the flag of China
Viewpoint

GOP-led US House will get tougher on China — but not as much as you'd think

How might a Republican-led House impact US policy toward China? Eurasia Group analyst Anna Ashton offers her take.

US House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) arrives for leadership elections at the Capitol in Washington, DC.
AI

What We’re Watching: Republican House, Israeli robo-guns, Poland’s back

AI-controlled guns in the West Bank, the view from Poland

 Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Masto leads a rally ahead of the midterm elections in Henderson, Nevada.
News

What We’re Watching: Dems’ Senate victory, Iran's first protester death sentence, Ethiopia's peace deal

What We’re Watching: Dems’ Senate victory, Islamic Republic’s clampdown, Ethiopia's peace deal

Former U.S. President Donald Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis
US & Canada

Bracing for 2024: Trump vs. DeSantis

As dust from US midterm elections begins to settle, the focus is shifting to tension brewing within the GOP. Former President Donald Trump looks poised to announce his 2024 presidential bid, and many expect Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis to throw his hat in the ring. Trump is publicly discouraging DeSantis from running – threatening him even. With the race for 2024 set to begin, we asked Eurasia Group’s lead US political analyst Jon Lieber for his insights on the DeSantis-Trump feud and the likely 2024 presidential tickets.

Georgia Senate candidates: U.S. Senator Raphael Warnock (D) and Herschel Walker (R)
News

What We’re Watching: US midterm cliffhanger, Russia’s Kherson retreat, ASEAN summit kickoff

What We’re Watching: US midterm cliffhanger, Russia’s Kherson retreat, ASEAN summit kickoff

Voters cast their ballots in the midterm election, in Detroit, Michigan.
News

US midterms: What we know and what we don’t

It was anything but a boring night in US politics. Votes are still being tallied in many states, but one thing is clear: There was no red wave.

U.S. President Joe Biden campaigns in support of Democrats in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S.
US & Canada

US midterms: Did Democrats blow it?

With Democrats fighting to retain control of Congress and with some formerly safe blue seats now up for grabs, many analysts are asking whether the Dems’ poor electoral prospects were inevitable or if the party shot itself in the foot?