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midterms matter

US House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) arrives for leadership elections at the Capitol in Washington, DC.
AI

What We’re Watching: Republican House, Israeli robo-guns, Poland’s back

AI-controlled guns in the West Bank, the view from Poland

US House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) waves after speaking to supporters on midterms election night.
News

What We’re Watching: Domestic & foreign policy implications, lame-duck maneuvers, Trump 2.0?, a Lake of doubts

Probe payback incoming, how US foreign policy might change under a GOP House, outgoing Dems try to beat the clock, Trump teases 2024 announcement, Raising (doubts in) Arizona

Will US voters show up
Graphic Truth

The Graphic Truth: Will US voters show up?

We look at voter turnout in presidential races vs. midterms since 1980 and zoom in on the turnout in some key battleground states.

Three hands putting votes into ballot boxes with different colors beside the "Midterm Matters" tagline
News

Will a GOP House speaker be able to control an unruly caucus?

The two most recent Republican House speakers were forced into early retirement due to ugly internal party politics. Kevin McCarthy might be next.

Three hands putting votes into ballot boxes with different colors beside the "Midterm Matters" tagline
News

Are US state courts the new battleground?

Prepare to see a lot more money enter state judicial races.

A scale showing the balance of power in the US congress tipping in favor of Republicans on a backdrop of a rising inflation chart.
US & Canada

Why US partisan gridlock might be good for the economy, stupid

Who wins in a deadlocked Congress on economic matters after the midterms? The Fed.

Three hands putting votes into ballot boxes with different colors beside the "Midterm Matters" tagline
News

Overturning a US election ain't that easy

We shouldn’t oversimplify the processes by which elections are conducted and votes are counted and reported.

Chart comparing chances of Democrats keeping the Senate in the US midterms given by election forecasting site based on polls and a betting site.
News

The Graphic Truth: Don't bet on it

We compare how an election forecasting site based on polls and a betting site view the chances of Democrats keeping the Senate.

In Midterm Matters, we look at hot-button US midterm news to separate the signal (need-to-knows) from the noise (the chatter).
News

Can Dems rebuild a blue fence in the Midwest?

Three key gubernatorial races are leaning blue.

We are counting down to the US midterm elections on Nov. 8 by separating the signal from the noise on election-related news.
News

Latino dreams, NY States of Mind

GOP looks to Latinos for upsets in Texas, NY governor’s race tightens