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Harris wins debate
And it's not that Trump didn't have points to make, but he largely didn't make them. The only significant time that I saw a misstep that Trump was able to hit against Kamala was when she was complaining about his tariffs against China and more broadly. And, of course, these were policies that Trump put in place, which Biden stuck with and claims he's succeeded in China, and they were Trump policies and said, well, if you want to change them, why didn't you? And through the debate, his message was, well, if there are all these great things you wanted to do, you've been vice president, why haven't you done them over the last 3.5 years? But on balance, what Trump did was lose message, lose discipline, and attack Kamala Harris in ways that seemed incoherent and all over the map from the opening question when he was asked about the economy and couldn't stay on target on the economy instead immediately started talking about immigration when he threw in this nonsensical and false claim that immigrants, Haitian immigrants in Ohio are eating household pets. When he was asked about foreign policy and said I'm loved around the world and used Hungary's Viktor Orban as his respected character witness on and on, he seemed defensive and angry and not on message and not disciplined and was rattled by the fact that Kamala Harris was landing punches against him.
I don't think she was fantastic, but she was good. And good is a significant accomplishment given the fact that coming into this, she was not taking interviews, one exception over the last six weeks with the media. Certainly, nothing that was confrontational or hostile, that she's frequently spoken in abstractions and generalities, and not shown policy chops on a range of issues with depth and detail, that she frequently laughs a lot, you know, sort of out of timing and in ways that seems not to make sense, and out of defensiveness. None of that happened this evening. Today, Harris was responding coherently, not always with every fact at her fingertips, but certainly seemed to be a normal politician with a message to put across. Was particularly strong on issues like abortion, where she has that capacity, and on pieces of economic policy. Also, in being able to land blows against Trump and his unfitness, inconsistency, lack of support for democracy, other related issues.
Now, ABC is going to come into the crosshairs here because certainly the questions that they asked, and the follow-ups, were more hostile towards Trump than they were towards Harris. Would you say that they were biased against Trump? Well, I would say that they were more focused on fact-finding, and Trump, more frequently than Harris and more frequently than any politician at that level, is making up his own facts. And they were doing a fair amount of fact-checking in real time. I would say there was a little bit of bias in the sense that there were a couple of places they could have been fact-checking Kamala Harris, and they didn't. And I think they could have done a better job of that. I also think that they gave Trump much more time to follow up when he wanted to, and they typically cut off Harris at the end of her time. You could say that that's bias in favor of Trump, except it didn't help Trump. It actually hurt Trump because the longer he was speaking, the more rattled and unhinged he appeared to be.
So, I'd certainly say if you were looking at this debate, in terms of who you thought actually came across as a winner, and you had uncertainty as a potential voter, in the way that Biden/Trump would have been 95%, Trump, Harris/Trump would be 80% Harris. Now, if you're a partisan on the Harris or Trump side, it didn't matter what was going to happen, and you're going to say that your side won, no matter what. If you're trying to defend Trump tomorrow on air, you're going to say, “This was three-on-one. This was an ABC dogpile. They're the fake news. They should be shut down.” And I suspect Trump will be saying that, both directly and with his proxies tomorrow.
But the fact is, he did not perform, and he is a 78-year-old man. He has not been particularly on point or on message in lots of his rallies recently, if you've watched them, or at the Economics Club in New York last week, if you watch that speech, he has vulnerabilities. And Kamala Harris, who had not been tested at this level before, this is, you know, a presidential debate, she's the nominee., it's the biggest spot of her life, and she gave the best performance of her vice presidency, in my view. Was she, you know, Obama in terms of masterful and soaring rhetoric? No. was she Reagan? Same, no. But was she capable of sounding presidential, sounding like a leader, and thumping Trump pretty hard? Absolutely, yes. I think this is an incredibly tight race. It's essentially a coin flip. I think this will probably give Harris a little bit more momentum that had tapped out after the convention. But it's probably not going to move her 2 or 3 points. It might move her half a point or a point.
It's very, very tight. And I still think this election is very much open over the next couple months. But Harris did herself significant favors, Trump did himself none, over the last couple of hours, and that's the news going into tomorrow. That's my view. Best I can do. You can disagree with it, but you know, I at least try to tell you what I think is going on honestly, and I'll talk to you all real soon.
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Debate Bingo: Kamala Harris v. Donald Trump
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump will face off in their first presidential debate of the 2024 US election campaign on Tuesday, September 10th. That means it is time for another round of: DEBATE BINGO!
Tuesday's 90-minute debate will air on ABC News at 9 PM ET and will be moderated by ABC anchors David Muir and Linsey Davis. It will be held at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia. This marks not only the first time that Harris and Trump will debate, but also the first time they will meet each other in person.
Some tips on DEBATE BINGO: you can make it a competition with your fellow politics nerd pals by printing out GZERO Media's debate bingo cards. Or just screenshot them and share with your friends to compare online. There are four different cards so that each player can have a unique board. Every time one of the candidates says one of these words or terms, X it on your card. The first player to get five across wins. And if you really want to jazz it up, you can mark each of your words by taking a swig of your favorite beverage, doing five burpees, or donating to your favorite charity or political candidate.
Enjoy! Follow our coverage of the debate with us on social media too - we'll be on X @gzeromedia.
Harris Trump Debate Bingo Card 1
Harris Trump Debate Bingo Card 2
Harris Trump Debate Bingo Card 3
Harris Trump Debate Bingo Card 4
Remember, there's more going on in the world than just the US election, so subscribe to GZERO Daily, our newsletter on global politics, and watch our weekly show GZERO World with Ian Bremmer right here and on public television.
Why Project 2025 is getting so much attention at the DNC
Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group's head of research and managing director for the firm's coverage of United States political and policy developments, shares his perspective on US politics from the Democratic National Convention in Chicago.
What we're watching in US Politics: Project 2025 is getting a lot of attention at the DNC, and you're probably going to hear a lot more about it even after the convention in Chicago ends.
You may have heard a lot about Trump’s Project 2025 in this election cycle, and you're probably going to hear a lot more about it in the coming weeks. And one of the reasons these kinds of Democratic activists have spent a lot of time educating the public through paid media and also some sessions they are holding inside about what's in the 2025 platform. And the point they want to make is that the Project 2025, which is a project of The Heritage Foundation, designed to be sort of a governing guide for President Trump and anybody filling out the executive branch agencies in a second Trump term, is also the Trump agenda. Trump himself has, of course, distanced himself from Project 2025, but there's all kinds of overlap between former Trump administration officials and people who are writing this thing, people who are likely to serve in a second Trump administration. Why are the Democrats spending so much time talking about this? Because it's not that popular. The individual items in 2025 don't poll that well, and it's actually become a major liability for President Trump. So much so that the person at the Heritage Foundation who ran the project actually stepped down from his job because it had become such a liability for the Trump campaign, which is not exactly what The Heritage Foundation donors were hoping for when they launched this project. So stay tuned for a lot more on Project 2025. It's going to be a message every night here at the Democratic National Convention, and there's going to be a lot of fodder for attack ads to draw a policy contrast with former President Trump
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How Iran is messing with the US election
Iranian-linked groups have been trying to disrupt the 2024 US presidential election, according to a recent report from Microsoft’s Threat Analysis Center.
On Aug. 10, former President Donald Trump’s campaign claimed that Iranian actors had hacked, stolen, and distributed its internal documents. While the Trump campaign provided few specifics, the claim came a day after Microsoft issued a report detailing Iranian attempts to sow discord online around the upcoming election. The Trump campaign hack appears to line up with what Microsoft called a “spear phishing email” sent from an Iranian-linked group to a “high-ranking official on a presidential campaign.”
Further, Microsoft found that the Iranian group, called Storm-2035, set up four fake news websites, disguised as legitimate American news outlets, with the intention of polarizing American voters on political issues, including LGBTQ rights and the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. The group used generative AI-based tools, the report said, to write article headlines and rephrase stolen content to boost traction with search engines. They also used AI tools to plagiarize existing US publications, the report said, but didn’t offer additional specifics.
Microsoft said that while they have seen malicious actors from China, Russia, and Iran trying to incorporate generative AI into their operations, “recently many actors have pivoted back to techniques that have proven effective in the past — simple digital manipulations, mischaracterization of content, and use of trusted labels or logos atop false information.” AI isn’t a breakthrough technology for these groups just yet — though they’re clearly trying to incorporate them into their operations.
Clint Watts, who runs the Microsoft Threat Analysis Center, said Iran’s goal is different from Russia’s past attempts to affect US elections. “Russia is very different. They're very focused on shaping the outcome of the election,” he told NPR. “Iran is focused as much on just breaking the ability of an election to occur" and interrupting the mechanics of voting. In 2021, the US Justice Department indicted two Iranian nationals who sent threatening materials to voters and spread disinformation about election integrity in the run-up to the 2020 presidential election.
Microsoft has previously reported that Russia is actively seeking to undermine US support for Ukraine through online influence campaigns. CNN reported on Aug. 12 that the FBI is investigating the breach.Kamala Harris on foreign policy
The first thing I should say, though, is that she does have a level of foreign policy exposure and experience, which is significant. So, it's not just a nominal conversation. We can talk about the meetings that she's had, the exposure that she's had, the experience that she's had in ways that should allow us to talk about her with more substance and depth. And first of all, the fact that she has served as vice president for a president that knows a lot about foreign policy, ran point on many foreign policy issues as vice president for the Obama administration, and before that ran the Senate Foreign Relations Committee has meant a lot of exposure for Kamala Harris. But also the fact that she sits in the presidential daily briefs every morning, that she's in the situation room when there are significant national security issues being discussed, she attends most of the meetings that Biden has with heads of state. Occasionally, she asks questions and participates; sometimes, she doesn't, but that's a lot. And in addition to that, she's also made a lot of trips herself, about 21 countries that she has visited as vice president, including five trips to Asia, four to Africa and the Middle East, and over 150 foreign leaders that she has met with herself. So, if you compare her to others, others talked about as potential Democratic party nominees or Republicans that were running against Trump, she actually has a lot more foreign policy exposure than them. And that's particularly important because, of course, when she became vice president, that wasn't the case at all. She had been a first-term senator, and before then a prosecutor and not someone that had had significant exposure to responsibility for of any sort for national security foreign policy. But now she certainly does. So that's the first point. That's the backdrop of all of this.
I've seen her now running three delegations of the Munich Security Conference for the United States, the most important national security event that the Americans attend. And that means meeting with, aligning policies with, all of the top US allies. Also, when she was running point, though Biden was also there, but she was very important because it was her back- hometown, California for the APEC Summit. And we spent a lot of time there when meeting with all of the APEC members and leaders that had come in. And that was particularly important for the meeting between Biden and Xi Jinping and trying to get that on a more stable trajectory without giving away the store for the Americans. The meeting that she led, the delegation for the Bletchley AI Conference, one of the more important for international, though not global, but international governance of AI, certainly among the US and its allies. So again, a lot of exposure.
So given all of that, where would I say there are significant differences? First and foremost, when I see Biden, I see someone who was very much someone that came of age during the Cold War and sees foreign policy actors in much more black and white. The idea of democracies versus autocracies was a Biden formulation, not a Biden administration formulation, a Biden formulation. A lot of his own advisors didn't like it. Vice President Harris certainly doesn't like it. It doesn't really reflect reality in the world in 2024, and it doesn't necessarily help the United States, which needs to have useful relations, and in many case does have very stable relations with countries that are hardly democratic themselves, and the United States is hardly a great example, a shining example of a functional representative democracy, especially in the context of its core allies in the G-7. Rather, I would say that ... and also in addition to that, Biden also sees the "Great Man" policy formulation, that you know, if you sit down with another great leader and you work a personal relationship, you can get things done. So a lot of the most important things are done bilaterally.
I would say that Kamala's inclinations are very much opposed to that, that they support rule of law and they support international norms and standards. Some of that is her prosecutorial bent and background. Some of that is just being much younger and coming of age in a very different post-Cold War time, much more multipolar and the Americans needing allies in multilateral structures, and also needing to work with countries that aren't allies in multilateral structures to get them to do the right thing. And frequently the American experience and policy is hypocritical. But if you want to uphold the right thing globally, you need to stand for those norms and you need to uphold those norms in institutions, even in places where occasionally the United States is really going to disagree on individual policy.
So that I think is a pretty big difference between the two. And I think that, for example, the vice president's approach on Russia is very much aligned with this, where Biden is like, "It is the evil Putin doing horrible things," and Kamala much more, "Sovereignty needs to be upheld." The policies are very aligned, but the reason for the policies, I think is a little bit different.
I think that Harris would not be inclined to push the Ukrainians for a shift towards negotiations in a way that I think Biden intrinsically would like to. Biden doesn't really trust Zelensky. The first time he met Zelensky when he was president, Zelensky was blaming Biden for not getting Ukraine into NATO, even though it wasn't in Biden's capacity to do so. There were lots of allies that were supported, and Zelensky's perspective was, "Yeah, but if you would pushed, it definitely would've happened." I think that Kamala Harris's view on Zelensky has been someone whose country has been wronged and their position needs to be supported because you have to uphold these norms and values. And certainly in that regard, when she met Ukrainian president Zelensky for the first time before the invasion and was delivering intelligence to him about the impending attack, that really helped forge a much warmer personal relationship between the two. And I think Zelensky is much more comfortable with a Harris than he has been or would be, would've been with Biden. So, that's interesting.
I would say that on China policy, they're very well aligned, especially when you talk about areas of common interest coordinating with allies on national security issues, which broadly include key strategic industries. The fact that the US has been able to bring down the temperature somewhat with China while maintaining and building strong relations across Asia is something that's important. Harris has made a lot of trips, meeting with President Marcos of the Philippines, that's a very strong relationship. She certainly feels that that's an area that the Americans need to pay a lot of attention to, need to prioritize. I would say the "pivot to Asia" concept is very strong under Harris in a way that perhaps less so under Biden and certainly not under Trump.
Maybe one of the biggest issues of differentiation is on Israel-Palestine. Very hard for Harris to talk about that because she's the vice president sitting, with Biden still running the policy, and Biden being very deferential to Netanyahu. I think that Kamala Harris would try to be considerably less so and would focus much more on the abrogation of human rights of the Palestinians while at the same time recognizing that Israel is the most important defense partner of the United States. That would lead to a lot more pressure. And I think that that pressure would be out of step with the US relationship with Israel over the past decades but much more aligned with where America's allies are with Israel going forward.
The big vulnerability that Harris has, of course, is on immigration and the border, and that is one that she is not going to be able to jettison. She had responsibility for the policy with the Northern Triangle. She was given that because Biden doesn't really have much background with immigration, and Harris is from California, and Biden expected she'd do a better job with that. She was generally seen as not doing a good job with that. And, of course, the numbers have been rising and rising and rising. Some of that is post-pandemic. Some of that is not paying enough attention to border policies that can work, and to security, and to get the resources that are necessary to process the cases, all of these things. And I suspect that Biden and Harris have come late to the recognition, the realization that talk is cheap when it comes to sanctuary cities, and you need to actually have a more effective border policy. And I think that she's going to be continually very vulnerable on that issue.
Final thing I'd say between Biden and Harris is that, again, as someone who's only 59, I say only that's not exactly young, but certainly in the context of Biden and Trump, it's quite young, does look more to the future in terms of setting foreign policy. That is part of why Harris has been more focused on Silicon Valley than Biden has been. And certainly, I've seen that with the prioritization of AI. I think that's also Harris's focus on Africa as the place where you're going to see the greatest demographic growth. Some of the greatest potential challenges if it's not addressed with the United States, that Chinese of course having a big lead in engaging economically, engaging commercially and having political leverage. But the United States wanting to do much more in terms of human capital, also in terms of climate. I think that comes much more naturally to Harris to focus long-term on what it means if the Americans don't take a leadership role with allies and with countries that are adversaries on climate than Biden has.
So there are, I think a lot of places where we can talk about differentiation. She's going to have to set out a lot of that in much clearer and stronger form than she's had the ability to as vice president. And the media is going to need to pay a lot more attention to it going forward because it hasn't really been a priority to cover it. But I do think that there is enough to begin with to start asking some good questions, and hopefully she's also going to be taking some significant interviews with media, which she hasn't done since Biden has dropped, to answer them.
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Who will Harris pick as her VP running mate?
Vice President Kamala Harris is the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, leaving one major question remaining: Who will she choose as her No. 2?
“Harris needs someone who compliments her strengths,” says Eurasia Group’s US director Clayton Allen. “To put it bluntly, a white, male, moderate.” She is also looking for someone who can unify the party, draw in a new coalition of voters, or win in a swing state.
Former Attorney General Eric Holder is reportedly in charge of vetting a list of 10 Democrats being considered for the job.
Josh Shapiro
Then-Attorney General Josh Shapiro announces a $20 million settlement with Trident Mortgage Company over redlining allegations, Philadelphia, PA, July 27, 2022.
Credit: United States government
The Pennsylvania governor, a can-do moderate, could help Harris win his state’s 19 electoral college votes by making inroads with rural, potentially Trump-leaning voters. A poll earlier this year showed that more than three in 10 Trump supporters in Pennsylvania supported Shapiro.
Shapiro, who is Jewish, has been an outspoken supporter of Israel’s policy in Gaza and an opponent of campus protests and divestment calls. The extent to which those stances could alienate progressive Democrats is an open question. Shapiro’s support for school vouchers also ran afoul of Pennsylvania’s largest teachers union, an issue that will likely also attract attention.
Mark Kelly
Sen. Mark Kelly, D-Ariz., introduces Vice President Kamala Harris at the first meeting of the National Space Council, United States Institute of Peace, Washington, Dec. 1, 2021.
Credit: NASA/Joel Kowsky
Like Shapiro, the Arizona Senator also hails from a swing state, and his tough stance on border security could help Harris – who was given the southern border as a portion of her issue portfolio – withstand attacks on the administration’s border record. Plus, “he has a nice story,” says Eurasia Group US expert Jon Lieber. “He’s an astronaut and loyal husband to his wife, who was a victim of gun violence.” Kelly is married to former congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords, who was severely wounded in a mass shooting in Tucson in 2011.
His downside: If he ran it would mean abandoning a Democratic Senate seat in a swing state, forcing the Dems to defend it again two years earlier than expected.
Andy Beshear
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear addresses more than 900 Soldiers and Airmen from the Kentucky National Guard during Leadership Development Day at the Kentucky Exposition Center in Louisville, Ky., Feb. 5, 2023.
Credit: Dale Greer/U.S. Air National Guard
The governor of Kentucky “brings a southern state moderate appeal that boosts Harris’ blue-collar appeal,” says Allen. Beshear has won two terms in a solidly Republican state that Trump won by 26 points in 2020. He is vocal about his Christianity and has emphasized the need to work with Republicans on legislation – traits that could boost Democratic support among moderates and independents. But Trump is almost certainly going to win in Kentucky, putting Beshear at a disadvantage to the other swing-state governors.
Roy Cooper
Gov. Roy Cooper speaks about the rise in COVID-19 cases in North Carolina during a press conference in Raleigh, N.C., Oct. 21, 2020.
Credit: NC Dept of Public Safety
At 67, Cooper has had a long political career as the former state’s attorney general and North Carolina senator, making him among the most qualified of the VP picks – but age has proven to be a double-edged sword in this election season. Cooper’s successes as a Democratic candidate in an increasingly Republican state may sweeten his odds for VP in helping turn the Tar Heel State, a key battleground state, blue for the first time since 2008.
JB Pritzker
Gov. J.B. Pritzker addresses members of the audience after being sworn into office at the Bank of Springfield Center, Jan. 14, 2019, in Springfield.
Credit: Vishesh Anand/Illinois Public Media
The Illinois governor’s family owns the Hyatt hotel chain, and his deep pockets could help Harris raise money – though having received a $100 million money shower after Biden stepped down, the vice president isn’t exactly desperate for cash. Pritzker, who is also Jewish, has been more moderate on the Gaza issue than Shapiro. But as a 1-percenter, Pritzker won’t help Harris connect with the working-class midwestern Biden-2020 voters she needs, says Lieber. And Illinois isn’t a state in danger anyway: Biden won it by 17 points.
Pete Buttigieg
US Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg speaking at the International Transport Forum’s 2022 Summit in Leipzig, Germany, May 18, 2022.
Credit: International Transport Forum
The 42-year-old secretary of transportation is an unlikely choice despite being, in Allen’s words, “a lightning rod for self-harming Republican commentary,” referring to the fact that Buttigieg is often the target of homophobic rhetoric from the right. Buttigieg, a former management consultant who is known for his meticulous challenges to Republican talking points in Congress and on TV, would be the first openly gay veep. But he is an unlikely choice because his appeal is limited to urban liberal voters who are already almost certain to vote for Harris.
Tim Walz
Gov. Tim Walz and St. Paul Mayor Melvin Carter visit the Ramsey County Mobile Vaccine Clinic at Allianz Field in St. Paul, Minn., June 23, 2021.
Credit: Ramsey County Minnesota
The Minnesota governor and veteran of the US Army National Guard has snuck his name onto the list even though he lacks much national recognition. Walz’s efforts to protect abortion rights and his introduction of free school meals for students and gender-affirming care fit nicely with Harris’ policy preferences, and his rural sensibility bodes well with moderate Americans. Plus, Minnesota – once a Democratic stronghold – has been leaning further right in recent years. However, that’s not likely enough to land Walz the VP pick, as neither he nor his state is competitive enough to truly sway this election.
Gretchen Whitmer
Then-Senator Gretchen Whitmer (L) speaks at a Vote No on Proposal 5 press conference at the Michigan Municipal League offices in Lansing, Oct. 9, 2012.
Credit: Michigan Municipal League
The Michigan governor was rumored as an alternative replacement to Biden but has since endorsed Harris – and is likely waiting for 2028 to throw her hat in the ring. The former senator and prosecutor’s impressive and progressive record aligns with Harris’ as a strong defender of abortion rights, advocate for improved gun legislation, and co-chair of the Biden-Harris campaign. She would be a strong counterweight to the hyper-male Republican bid; however, for a country that has yet to elect a female president, an all-female ticket may be a stretch.
For Allen, “the two most obvious, at least for now, are Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly and Josh Shapiro.” Who do you think she is most likely to choose? Who do you think she should pick? Let us know here
- The importance of Kamala Harris ›
- Generational showdown: How the youth and senior votes will influence the US election ›
- Kamala Harris narrows the enthusiasm gap. But will it last? ›
- Kamala Harris faces a big decision ›
- Kamala Harris secures the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination ›
- What Tim Walz adds to Kamala Harris' campaign - GZERO Media ›
Kamala Harris narrows the enthusiasm gap. But will it last?
Before President Joe Biden dropped out of the 2024 race, polling showed that most Democratic voters were feeling pretty meh about their presidential nominee while most Republicans were riled up about former President Donald Trump and his chances of returning to the White House.
But Vice President Kamala Harris already appears to be narrowing that enthusiasm gap, and then some.
About eight in 10 Democratic voters would be satisfied with Harris becoming the Democratic presidential nominee, according to a new AP-NORC poll that was conducted after Biden called it quits. Comparatively, an AP-NORC poll from before Biden dropping out found that only about 4 in 10 Democrats said they were satisfied with him as the Democratic nominee.
And a Gallup poll from June — even before Biden’s disastrous debate against Trump — showed that Republican voters, at 79%, were nearly twice as likely as Democrats, at 42%, to say they are pleased with their party’s nominee.
Meanwhile, recent polling suggests that Harris is also catching up with Trump in the race more generally, including in key swing states. The vice president on Wednesday also received the coveted endorsement of the United Automobile Workers, one of the most powerful unions in the country. But whether this momentum will last is a bigger question.
“Harris is obviously a better candidate than Biden was: She has unified the Democratic party, raised significant amounts of money, and is benefiting from online and grassroots enthusiasm that Biden could not muster,” says Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group’s managing director for the US.”
“That said, the polling bounce she is experiencing is likely going to fade as her honeymoon period ends, and we do not know what her ceiling of national support is.”
The Veepstakes: Who will be Donald Trump's VP pick?
With Donald Trump set to announce his vice presidential running mate in the coming days, we explore the possible contenders — and their viability.
Tim Scott
Tim Scott
South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, who withdrew from the race for the Republican nomination last November, has been campaigning hard for Donald Trump – and he has his eye on becoming vice president. But will the GOP’s only Black senator get Trump’s VP nod?
Raised by a single mom in Charleston, South Carolina, Scott became the first Black Republican elected to any office in the Palmetto State since the 19th century when he won his 1995 Charleston city council race. In 2008, he won a seat in the statehouse and went on to the House of Representatives in 2010. After one term, then-South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley appointed him to fill a vacant Senate seat, and he has easily won reelection three times. He is arguably the most recognizable elected Black Republican in office today. (Could Tim Scott become Trump's No. 2? Continue to read here.)
Elise Stefanik
Elise Stefanik
Rep. Elise Stefanik of New York, a rising star of the GOP, is one of the few women on former President Donald Trump’s vice president shortlist.
When Stefanik first entered the national political scene in 2014, she was considered the new face of the Republican Party. At the time, she was the youngest woman ever elected to Congress and widely considered a moderate. Fast-forward to 2024, and Stefanik has drastically shifted to the right. She’s a full-blown MAGA Republican, routinely defending Trump and echoing his talking points – including the white nationalist “great replacement” conspiracy theory. (Could Stefanik, now a full-blown MAGA Republican, become Trump's running mate? Continue to read here.)
JD Vance
JD Vance
CNP/INSTARimages.com via Reuters
From holler to white collar. That’s the unusual life arc of J.D. Vance, the 39-year-old junior senator from Ohio.
Born into extreme poverty in rural southern Ohio, he grew up in the holler – “the hollow” – surrounded by abuse, addiction, and despair. But he made it out: He joined the Marines, graduated from Yale Law School, and became a successful tech venture capitalist.
He recounted all of this in his bestselling 2016 memoir “Hillbilly Elegy,” which became required reading after Trump’s shock victory over Hillary Clinton spurred interest in the disaffection of white working-class America. In the book, Vance criticized a culture of victimhood and dependency among poor whites while also blasting the establishment’s condescension and neglect. (Could Vance make it to the very top? Continue to read here.)
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Mariana Robertson via Reuters
Florida’s senior senator earned the nickname “Lil’ Marco” for challenging Donald Trump during the 2016 primaries, but he has since forged a close alliance with the former president – so much so that some believe he could be tapped for No. 2.
Rubio was born in Miami to Cuban immigrants who arrived before the 1959 communist revolution — contrary to claims he had long made of them fleeing from Fidel Castro. He speaks fluent Spanish and got his start in politics in 1998 as a city commissioner in West Miami, where the 2000 census showed 87% of residents spoke Spanish as a first language. (Could Rubio stand a chance of becoming the first Latino VP? Find out more here.)
Doug Burgum
Doug Burgum
When Doug Burgum launched a campaign for the Republican presidential nomination focused on economic growth, energy production, and national security, few Americans outside of the Flickertail State had heard of the former software CEO turned governor of North Dakota. Just to get the 40,000 unique donors needed to make the debate stage, he had to give out $20 gift cards in return for $1 campaign donations. While he’s still far from a household name, he has emerged as a dark horse favorite to become Donald Trump’s vice presidential running mate.
Who is he? The67-year-old Burgum hails from Arthur, North Dakota — a town of roughly 300 residents — and worked as a consultant at McKinsey & Co before leveraging his family farm to start an accounting software company called Great Plains Software, which he sold to Microsoft for $1.1 billion in 2001. (Would Trump fancy a biz-savvy VP pick? Find out more here.)
Wildcards: Could Trump surprise us with his VP running mate?
Wildcards: Could Trump surprise us with his VP running mate? Vivek Ramaswamy, Ivanka Trump, Nikki Haley, Kristi Noem, Tulsi Gabbard & Byron Donalds
Luisa Vieira/GZERO Media
Donald Trump has been teasing his vice presidential pick for weeks, but with the Republican National Convention kicking off next week, he’s likely to make it official — and soon.
Right now, the front-runners appear to be Sens. Marco Rubio and JD Vance, along with North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum. But what about the contenders who aren’t grabbing headlines yet remain on Trump’s radar? Here is everything you need to know about the dark-horse candidates.
Nikki Haley: We know, we know, the former governor of South Carolina and Trump’s former ambassador to the UN fired shots at the former president as his main opponent in the primary. But just because she once challenged him doesn’t mean she wouldn’t be a valuable running mate. (Could Trump surprise us with his VP running mate? Find out more about his wildcard prospects here.)
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