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top risks 2022

A look back at “Top Risks 2022”
News

A look back at “Top Risks 2022”

Eurasia Group issues a forecast of its Top Risks for the coming year each January. Before we look ahead to 2023, here's a look back at what this report got right — and what it missed — in 2022.

China vs COVID in 2022
GZERO World Clips

China vs COVID in 2022

Omicron has arrived. It's more contagious, but less severe. Some parts of the world are even looking forward to the pandemic becoming endemic. Not China. Xi Jinping's zero-COVID strategy has worked wonders until now, but it's unlikely to survive omicron, explains Ian Bremmer on GZERO World.

The technopolar world: A new dimension of geopolitics — Kevin Allison
Events

The technopolar world: A new dimension of geopolitics — Kevin Allison

Kevin Allison, director of geotech at Eurasia Group, is concerned about the rise of very powerful tech companies disrupting centuries of geopolitics led by the nation-state.

The problem with China’s Zero COVID strategy: GZERO World with Ian Bremmer - the podcast
GZERO World with Ian Bremmer Podcast

Podcast: The problem with China’s Zero COVID strategy

Listen: Xi Jinping's zero-COVID approach faces its toughest test to date with omicron. Why? Because China lacks mRNA jabs, and so few Chinese people have gotten COVID that overall protection is very low. A wave of lockdowns could disrupt the world's second-largest economy — just a month out from the Beijing Winter Olympics. That could spell disaster for Beijing, Yanzhong Huang, senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign Relations, tells Ian Bremmer on the GZERO World podcast.

Corporations losing the culture wars — Angela Hofmann
Events

Corporations losing the culture wars — Angela Hofmann

For Angela Hofmann, practice head for Industrial & Consumer at Eurasia Group, the world's most visible brands are in for a very rocky year.

What is China’s zero-COVID policy?
GZERO World Clips

What is China’s zero-COVID policy?

We've all heard about there being zero COVID in China. But there's more to Beijing's pandemic containment strategy, which started immediately after the initial Wuhan outbreak. "Through swift action, lockdowns, quarantine and contact tracing, the country was able to quickly reduce cases," says Yanzhong Huang, senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign Relations.

Iran’s nuclear program runs hotter
Middle East

Iran’s nuclear program runs hotter

Iran and world powers are still talking about Iran’s nuclear program. But this doesn’t appear headed toward a deal — and the stakes are rising.

(Some of) your 2022 Top Risks questions, answered
Viewpoint

(Some of) your 2022 Top Risks questions, answered

Jon Lieber: What’s different about the 2022 midterms is 2024 Trump threat
Events

Jon Lieber: What’s different about the 2022 midterms is 2024 Trump threat

US midterm elections are normally about voters punishing the party in the White House, which usually loses seats in the House and Senate, and often control of Congress. But not the one this November. For Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group's US managing director, the big threat to American democracy in this year's midterms is that the Republican Party — now controlled by president Donald Trump — could win gubernatorial and other state-level races in key swing states with candidates who support Trump's bogus claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from him.

Cliff Kupchan: We need a national dialogue to save US democracy
Events

Cliff Kupchan: We need a national dialogue to save US democracy

For Eurasia Group Chairman Cliff Kupchan, American politics has become like an internal Cuban Missile Crisis, with Democrats and Republicans coming at each other instead of the US and the Soviets.