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Xi Jinping's Zero-COVID Reversal | Top Risks 2023 | GZERO Media

Xi Jinping's zero-COVID reversal |

If Xi Jinping had a theme song in China right now, for Eurasia Group analyst Anna Ashton it would be Canadian rapper Drake's "0 to 100." That's pretty much how fast he reversed course on zero-COVID.

And that explains why "Maximum Xi" — one man with total control over China — is Eurasia Group's No. 2 geopolitical risk for 2023.

The risk basically boils down to "maximum impunity and maximum potential mistakes," Ashton noted in a GZERO Live conversation about Eurasia Group's Top Risks 2023 report. In other words, China's leader is so powerful he won't be blamed for anything, even if he messes up badly.

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The Rogue Russian Risk: Will War in Ukraine Ever End? | Top Risks 2023 | GZERO Media

The rogue Russian risk: will war in Ukraine ever end?

Vladimir Putin definitely did not have a good 2022. Will he be in trouble this year?

Not in the short to medium term, says Eurasia Group Chairman Cliff Kupchan. But that doesn't mean he's completely off the hook.

Putin should watch his back from the siloviki, the men in the security services.

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Ian Bremmer: the Risk of AI & Empowered Rogue Actors | Global Stage | GZERO Media

Ian Bremmer: the risk of AI and empowered rogue actors

For years, the conversation at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, has mostly put artificial intelligence on the back burner. Not anymore.

We're now in a "transformative" moment for AI in terms of how the tech can disrupt the world in both good and bad ways, Eurasia Group President Ian Bremmer says in a Global Stage livestream conversation hosted by GZERO in partnership with Microsoft.

AI, he explains, can boost productivity for economic growth. But it can also be very dangerous when managed by rogue actors, which are more powerful now than they've ever been before.

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Annie Gugliotta

Be very scared of AI + social media in politics

Why is artificial intelligence a geopolitical risk?

It has the potential to disrupt the balance of power between nations. AI can be used to create new weapons, automate production, and increase surveillance capabilities, all of which can give certain countries an advantage over others. AI can also be used to manipulate public opinion and interfere in elections, which can destabilize governments and lead to conflict.

Your author did not write the above paragraph. An AI chatbot did. And the fact that the chatbot is so candid about the political mayhem it can unleash is quite troubling.

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Water Will Become Very Political in 2023, Says Eurasia Group Analyst | GZERO Media

Water will become very political in 2023, says Eurasia Group analyst

Perhaps the biggest surprise in Eurasia Group's top 10 geopolitical risks for 2023 is No. 10: water scarcity. But you should definitely pay attention to it.

The problem is that we take access to water for granted, says Eurasia Group analyst Franck Gbaguidi.

And while we've kept ignoring the issue, now the global population has hit 8 billion people. What's more, climate change is making water even less plentiful — and therefore more political.

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Ian Bremmer: 2023 Will Test the Limits of Ukraine’s Ties With the West | GZERO Media

Ian Bremmer: US support for Ukraine vs fear of Russian escalation

Rogue Russia is Eurasia Group's #1 top geopolitical risk for 2023. But what does that mean if you're Ukraine?

For Ian Bremmer, so far Ukraine and NATO have been very aligned on their goals. But that might change in the future if Ukraine's demands threaten unity between the US and its allies, he said in a GZERO Live conversation about Eurasia Group's Top Risks 2023 report.

The West will continue supporting Kyiv. But the last thing America wants is to risk giving the Ukrainians too much or too fast that it'll risk an escalation that could lead to nuclear war.

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Emerging Markets Most at Risk From Global Recession in 2023, Says Eurasia Group Expert | GZERO Media

Emerging markets most vulnerable to recession and political discontent

Inflation shockwaves is Eurasia Group's top geopolitical risk No. 4 for 2023. But who is most vulnerable to the effects of rising interest rates and a looming global recession?

Emerging markets.

Why? For Rob Kahn, managing director for geo-economics at Eurasia Group, these countries are in deep trouble because they have higher debt and more subject to sudden stops of capital flows that'll make it harder for them to pay for stuff. Not to mention that the pandemic has killed any fiscal monetary policy space they had before COVID, Kahn noted in a GZERO Live conversation about Eurasia Group's Top Risks 2023 report.

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Ian Bremmer: Be Very Scared of AI | GZERO Media

Ian Bremmer: How AI may destroy democracy

More than 30 years ago, the US was the top exporter of democracy to the rest of the world. But now, America has become the main exporter of the tools that undermine democracy where it is weak, Ian Bremmer said in a GZERO Live conversation about Eurasia Group's Top Risks 2023 report.

Social media and tech companies based in the US have developed what he calls "Weapons of Mass Disruption" — Eurasia Group's #3 geopolitical risk for 2023.

And guess who wrote the title? An artificial intelligence bot from ChatGPT.

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