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Podcast: Trouble ahead: The top global risks of 2024

Listen: In a special edition of the GZERO podcast, we're diving into our expectations for the topsy-turvy year ahead. The war in Ukraine is heading into a stalemate and possible partition. Israel's invasion of Gaza has amplified region-wide tensions that threaten to spill over into an even wider, even more disastrous, even ghastlier conflict. And in the United States, the presidential election threatens to rip apart the feeble tendrils holding together American democracy.

All those trends and more topped Eurasia Group's annual Top Risks project for 2024, which takes the view from 30,000 feet to summarize the most dangerous and looming unknowns in the coming year. Everything from out-of-control AI to China's slow-rolling economy made this year's list.

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A world of conflict: The top risks of 2024
Top Risks 2024 with Ian Bremmer, Cliff Kupchan, Zeid Ra'ad Al Hussein, and Marietje Schaake

A world of conflict: The top risks of 2024

2024 is shaping up to be a turbulent year. The war in Ukraine is heading into a stalemate that puts the country on the road to partition. Israel's invasion of Gaza risks expanding to a region-wide war. And in the United States, the presidential election is pitting a divided country against itself with unprecedented risks for its democracy. Throw in AI growing faster than governments can keep up, China's rumbly grumbly economy, and El Nino weather, and you're starting to get the picture.

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Watch today's livestream: 2024's Top Risks

WATCH: Ian Bremmer and a panel of leading geopolitics experts discuss Eurasia Group's newly released annual Top Risks report, which forecasts the global political threats for 2024. Evan Solomon, GZERO Media's publisher, moderates the live discussion at gzeromedia.com/toprisks.

The lead authors of the report, Ian Bremmer, founder and president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, and Cliff Kupchan, Eurasia Group's chairman, will be joined by Susan Glasser, staff writer at The New Yorker and co-author of "The Divider: Trump in the White House, 2017-2021"; Zeid Ra'ad Al Hussein, CEO & President of the International Peace Institute and former United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights; and Marietje Schaake, International Policy Fellow, Stanford Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence, and former European Parliamentarian, in a GZERO Media live event moderated by GZERO's publisher, Evan Solomon.

Watch live today at 12 noon ET at gzeromedia.com/toprisks.


Top Risks 2024
Monday, January 8, 2024 | 12 pm ET

gzeromedia.com/toprisks

How Trump shook up American democracy — & nearly severed ties with Europe
How Trump Shook Up American Democracy — & Nearly Severed Ties With Europe | GZERO World

How Trump shook up American democracy — & nearly severed ties with Europe

Ian Bremmer discusses US politics and the upcoming midterm elections with DC power couple Susan Glasser and Peter Baker. Glasser is a Washington columnist for the New Yorker, and Baker is the chief White House correspondent for the New York Times. They recently co-authored a new book about the Trump presidency.

The conversation, which for the first time in the show's history was recorded in front of a live studio audience, looks at the key issues in the midterm election and the Trump factor. Baker and Glasser had planned to become foreign correspondents in 2020, but because of Trump's win decided to stay in DC. Even out of office, they say Trump still looms large over the GOP, and continues to influence US politics like an "active crime scene."

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Susan Glasser: Trump damaged US credibility

The Trump presidency might be over (for now), but The New Yorker staff writer Susan Glasser views it as an "active crime scene" because Trump remains influential in current — and perhaps future — US politics.

What's more, some of his most controversial moves are still having ripple effects today. Like threatening to pull out of NATO.

On GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, recorded for the first time in front of a live studio audience, Glasser explains how Trump's disdain for the alliance caused great uncertainty among its other members, even as NATO has become more united than ever before to respond to Russia's war in Ukraine.

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Putin and geopolitical catastrophe

What do Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin have in common?

"They're very different characters, but a similar rule applies, which is when somebody tells you who they are, you should listen," New York Times journalist Peter Baker tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World, for the first time in front of a life studio audience. Baker co-authored a book on Putin with The New Yorker staff writer Susan Glasser, and the pair now have a new book out about the Trump presidency.

One thing that bothers Glasser when people talk about Putin is whether or not he'll accept an off-ramp to deescalate from the West. He won't.

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Behind Trump’s public theater: real attacks on US standing
Behind Trump’s Public Theater: Real Attacks on US Standing | GZERO World

Behind Trump’s public theater: real attacks on US standing

Right before Donald Trump was elected US president in 2016, Peter Baker and Susan Glasser were about to get overseas correspondent gigs at The New York Times and The New Yorker, respectively. Both turned it down, deciding to stay in America to cover the Trump presidency.

But what ensued was so crazy that "we got to be foreign correspondents in our hometown," Glasser tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World, for the first time in front of a live studio audience.

Trump was something no one had ever seen before in US politics. He was "from another planet in terms of Washington," says Baker. And he didn't change his style right to the very end: the Jan 6. Capitol insurrection he spurred.

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US votes as democracy is under attack
US Votes As Democracy Is Under Attack | GZERO World with Ian Bremmer

US votes as democracy is under attack

US midterm elections have traditionally been a referendum on the president. But in 2022 even Joe Biden wants the vote to be all about his predecessor, Donald Trump, who still dominates the GOP.

In this episode of GZERO World - and for the first time in front of a live studio audience — Ian Bremmer speaks to New York Times Chief White House Correspondent Peter Baker and New Yorker staff writer Susan Glasser, who've just co-authored a new book about the Trump presidency.

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