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Is water the next geopolitical battle?
Analysis

Is water the next geopolitical battle?

More than 70% of the earth’s surface is covered in good old H2O, so it would seem there’s plenty to go around. But the vast majority, at least 97%, is contained in the oceans as saltwater. The growing scarcity of freshwater for drinking, cooking, industrial, and agricultural uses is quickly moving water up as a global risk. In fact, our parent company, Eurasia Group, added it to its Top Risks list for 2026 as “The water weapon.”

​People attend the funeral of a person who was killed in alleged Pakistani airstrikes, in the Ghani Khel district of Nangarhar province.
Analysis

From allies to enemies: Pakistan and Afghanistan in “open war”

While Iran fights in a new war against Israel and the United States, its neighbors to the east have been drawn into a conflict of their own.

Army Chief Asim Munir holds a microphone at the Tilla Field Firing Ranges in Mangla, Pakistan, on May 1, 2025.
Analysis

Pakistan slides deeper into autocracy

Field Marshal Asim Munir, the country’s de facto leader, consolidated his power after the National Assembly rammed through a controversial constitutional amendment this month that grants him lifelong immunity from any legal prosecution.